Dodgers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 4

Atlanta Braves' Matt Olson (28) runs to first base in the seventh inning of Game 2 of a baseball NL Division Series against the Philadelphia Phillies, Monday, Oct. 9, 2023, in Atlanta. (AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
(AP Photo/Brynn Anderson)
  • The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Braves
  • Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 9 Runs
  • Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: ESPN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (+115) on Sunday, May 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Dodgers are 23-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 15-17 ATS.

Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Dustin May 1-1, 3.95 ERA
  • Braves starting pitcher: Bryce Elder 1-1, 5.34 ERA

Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +120O 9.5 -120-135
Braves +1.5 -145U 9.5 +100+115

Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 away games (+19.10 Units / 239% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.10 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Austin Riley has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+13.60 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Eli White has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games at home (+13.50 Units / 338% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Austin Riley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+7.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Matt Olson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.30 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+3.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.30 Units / 17% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 17-15 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 4.76% ROI).

  • 23-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 11.48% ROI
  • 19-14 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.1 Units / 11.34% ROI
  • 14-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -17.97% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 15-17 against the Run Line (-2.6 Units / -6.69% ROI).

  • 14-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.25 Units / -22.09% ROI
  • 15-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -0.99% ROI
  • 14-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -6.72% ROI

Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +260 0.5 -325
Marcell Ozuna (ATL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Max Muncy (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -625
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700

Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Austin Riley (ATL) 0.5 -235 0.5 +180
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -220 0.5 +170

Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -160
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175

Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dustin May (LAD) 3.5 -165 3.5 +125
Bryce Elder (ATL) 3.5 -155 3.5 +120

Dustin May has a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (8/22) over the past seven days (1 game) — lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

Dustin May had a first-pitch strike rate of just 36% (8/22) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (28/137) against Dustin May this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 27% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .150 (6-for-40) against Dustin May when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 93rd Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bryce Elder has struck out just 7% (4/54) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: 21% — first Percentile.

Bryce Elder has not walked any of the 28 batters that they have faced against right-handed batters in his last two starts — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Bryce Elder allowed an OBP of .370 (184 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — fourth Percentile.

Bryce Elder threw fastballs down 45% of the time (632/1,420) in 2023 — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 95th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

The Dodgers are 186-33 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.

The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Dodgers are 23-10 (.697) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Braves are 4-14 (.222) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .085.

The Braves are 5-12 (.294) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Braves are just 0-16 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .040.

The Braves are just 7-3 (.700) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .876.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .676 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .562.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .454 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Braves hitters slugged .501 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .414.

Braves hitters had an OPS of .870 (1,425 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .742.

Braves hitters had an OBP of .400 (732 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Braves hitters are slugging .474 against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (743.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Opponents had a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Batters facing the Braves pitchers have struck out in the zone 42% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.

Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.