Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 5

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FILE - Chicago Cubs' Cody Bellinger watches his home run during the third inning of a baseball game against the New York Yankees, July 7, 2023, in New York. There are still some premium free agents available for Major League Baseball teams as the calendar nears March. Two-time Cy Young Winner Blake Snell, six-time All-Star J.D. Martinez and former MVP Cody Bellinger are among the players who haven't found a home. (AP Photo/Frank Franklin II, File)
(AP Photo/Frank Franklin II, File)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 05, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Dodgers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Cubs TV Channel: SNLA | MARQ | ESPN+

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-175) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+145) on Friday, April 5, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Dodgers are 7-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 4-2 ATS.

Dodgers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Kyle Hendricks 0-1, 12.28 ERA

Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +100O 7.5 -115-175
Cubs +1.5 -120U 7.5 -105+145

Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 61.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Dodgers vs Cubs and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.10 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+10.75 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Enrique Hernandez has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • James Paxton has hit the Strikeouts Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.15 Units / 52% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 47 games (+22.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 47 games (+16.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 47 games (+15.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.59 Units / -15.57% ROI).

  • 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.75 Units / 15.04% ROI
  • 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.82 Units / 38.09% ROI
  • 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.45 Units / -45.09% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 4-2 against the Run Line (+1.3 Units / 15.2% ROI).

  • 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.1 Units / 22.58% ROI
  • 4-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.8 Units / 26.47% ROI
  • 2-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.2 Units / -34.38% ROI

Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bellinger 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Morel 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200
Suzuki 0.5 +900 0.5 -1600
Gomes 0.5 +1300 0.5 -3000
Hoerner 0.5 +1650 0.5 -10000

Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hendricks 3.5 -145 3.5 +110
Miller 6.5 +115 6.5 -150

Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of 52% (11 SO in 21 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.7 MPH this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 93.5 — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has allowed an OPS of just .243 (21 PA’s) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 95th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has a strike rate of 74% (32/43) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.6 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — first Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks has averaged 87.3 MPH on fastballs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 131 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks located 70% of his pitches away (399/571) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Hendricks located 73% of his pitches away (827/1,135) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are 42-16 (.724) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .456.

The Dodgers are 194-30 (.866) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Dodgers were 87-10 (.897) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Dodgers are 80-35 (.696) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.

The Cubs are 52-29 (.642) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .592.

The Cubs were just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cubs were just 10-22 (.312) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,258 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .772 (3,946 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 21 double plays in 384 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.

Cubs hitters are slugging .667 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .588 (17 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .341.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of 1.078 (51 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Cubs hitters have drawn 28 walks in 191 PA’s (15%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Cubs pitchers have walked 3 of 54 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .232 against Cubs pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.

The longest HR allowed by the Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 481.0 feet — — tied for 4th longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Cubs vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
  • Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.