Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 6

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Chicago Cubs' Ian Happ watches his grand slam off Pittsburgh Pirates starting pitcher Mitch Keller during the fifth inning of a baseball game Wednesday, Sept. 20, 2023, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
(AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 06, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -190 favorites vs the Cubs
  • Dodgers vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Dodgers / Cubs TV Channel: FS1 | MARQ | SNLA

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (+155) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Dodgers are 7-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 5-2 ATS.

Dodgers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 0-1, 7.51 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 0-0, 4.16 ERA

Dodgers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -115O 8 -115-190
Cubs +1.5 -105U 8 -105+155

Dodgers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 64.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+14.10 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.95 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.85 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+10.10 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.75 Units / 89% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Over in 38 of his last 48 games (+23.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Seiya Suzuki has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+16.05 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Miles Mastrobuoni has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 11 games at home (+9.20 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 4-6 against the Run Line (-2.69 Units / -23.78% ROI).

  • 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 4.73% ROI
  • 7-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.82 Units / 43.7% ROI
  • 2-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -51.04% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 5-2 against the Run Line (+2.3 Units / 23.83% ROI).

  • 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.7 Units / 35.92% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 35.9% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.4 Units / -44.74% ROI

Cubs vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ohtani 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Muncy 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Morel 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Smith 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200
Suzuki 0.5 +750 0.5 -1200

Cubs vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wicks 4.5 -115 4.5 -115
Yamamoto 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 29% of the time (9/31) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CB; League Avg: 8% — 96th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 25% of the time (28/111) this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CB; League Avg: 13% — 90th Percentile.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto has thrown his curveball 24% of the time (16/67) vs left-handed batters this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 86th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 34% of Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s non-fastballs (19/56) this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 47% — third Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 48% (13/27) against Jordan Wicks on fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 20% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 47% (18/38) against Jordan Wicks this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (12/32) against Jordan Wicks on pitches in the strike zone this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of 43% (19/44) against Jordan Wicks this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

The Dodgers are 42-16 (.724) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.

The Dodgers were 87-10 (.897) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

The Dodgers are 94-10 (.904) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Dodgers were 45-17 (.726) after a loss in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Cubs are just 11-22 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Cubs are just 33-38 (.465) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.

The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Cubs are 52-29 (.642) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .592.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (9,291 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .718.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 21 double plays in 389 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (9,291 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

The Cubs are batting .533 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.

Cubs hitters are slugging .612 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Cubs hitters have an OPS of 1.016 (57 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.

Cubs hitters have an OBP of .588 (17 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .345.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .220 against Cubs pitchers in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

The Cubs pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 45% of their games since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Cubs vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
  • Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
  • Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.