Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 29

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Arizona Diamondbacks' Pavin Smith rounds the bases after his two-run home run during the second inning of a baseball game against the Detroit Tigers, Sunday, June 11, 2023, in Detroit.
(AP Photo/Carlos Osorio)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 29, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
  • Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 10 Runs
  • Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: SNLA | DBTV | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+115) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Dodgers are 18-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 14-15 ATS.

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 2-0, 2.62 ERA
  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Tommy Henry 1-1, 5.48 ERA

Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +110O 10 -105-135
Diamondbacks +1.5 -135U 10 -115+115

Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+10.85 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Miguel Rojas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games (+10.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+9.10 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+8.95 Units / 112% ROI)
  • James Outman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+8.55 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kevin Newman has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+19.50 Units / 488% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 14 games (+12.30 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.95 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+9.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 79 of their last 137 games (+22.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 63 away games (+16.00 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 99 games (+14.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 63 games (+11.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 54 of their last 93 games (+10.82 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 61 games (+9.29 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games at home (+7.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 14-16 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -12.38% ROI).

  • 18-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.6 Units / -9.64% ROI
  • 17-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 11.62% ROI
  • 12-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -20.54% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 14-15 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -6.05% ROI).

  • 13-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -15.29% ROI
  • 12-16 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.8 Units / -18.01% ROI
  • 16-12 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 9.18% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +290 0.5 -350
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +310 0.5 -400
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Randal Grichuk (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Miguel Rojas (LAD) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Christian Walker (ARI) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Mookie Betts (LAD) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Ketel Marte (ARI) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160

Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

James Paxton has walked 15 of 71 right-handed batters (21%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 6 of 20 batters (30%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 10 of 35 batters (29%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

James Paxton has walked 17 of 89 batters (19%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tommy Henry has allowed an OPS of 1.341 (31 PA’s) versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .631 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .429 (12-for-28) against Tommy Henry versus the bottom of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .226 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against Tommy Henry at home this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (25/158) against Tommy Henry on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Dodgers are 205-33 (.861) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.

The Dodgers are 85-39 (.685) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Dodgers are 27-9 (.750) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .474.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Diamondbacks are just 145-15 (.906) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Diamondbacks are just 128-23 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.

The Diamondbacks are just 60-39 (.606) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

The Diamondbacks are just 82-9 (.901) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .793 (9,828 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .344 (5,319 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .318.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .341 (9,828 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.

The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .371 (400 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.

The Diamondbacks are batting .316 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .391 (128 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .863 (400 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% in close and late situations since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH since last season (4,824 balls in play) — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0

The longest HR allowed by the Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 493.0 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.6 MPH (4,104 batted balls) in the 2023 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.

Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
  • Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
  • Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
  • Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.