- The Dodgers are -105 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Sunday, May 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Dodgers are 26-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 20-20 ATS.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin 1-0, 4.09 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 3-4, 4.34 ERA
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 9.5 -120 | -105 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | U 9.5 +100 | -115 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 55% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+11.50 Units / 115% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Alek Thomas has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+7.50 Units / 188% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 25% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.55 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+3.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+3.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 23 games (+1.95 Units / 5% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games at home (+5.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 40 games (+3.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 20-19 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 1.03% ROI).
- 26-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 5.27% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 6.26% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -13.04% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 20-20 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -4.27% ROI).
- 21-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -0.91% ROI
- 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.15 Units / -7.13% ROI
- 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.95 Units / -2.17% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Naylor (ARI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .262 (50-for-191) against Tony Gonsolin in non-two strike counts in 2023 — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .338 — 99th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed at least one HR in each of his last 10 games dating back to July 7th, 2023 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Tony Gonsolin allowed a BABIP of .235 in 2023 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 97th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin allowed a BABIP of .236 against right-handed batters in 2023 — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% (127/219) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strike rate of just 58% (234/404) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — sixth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has walked 15% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — sixth Percentile.
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .324 (186 Total Bases / 574 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 188-35 (.843) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 93-46 (.669) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 14-5 (.737) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are just 166-14 (.922) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .949.
The Diamondbacks are 10-8 (.556) on the road this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .465 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .884 against LHP this month (7 game{NumGameSuffix}) — best in MLB; League Avg: .377.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .643 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .452 since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .347 (3,915 PA’s) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks batted .284 against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 47% of the time this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Diamondbacks pitchers have struck out in the zone 48% of the time since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 21% in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
More MLB Reading:
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