- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Diamondbacks TV Channel: DBTV | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) on Thursday, May 8, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ, AZ.
This season, the Dodgers are 25-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 18-19 ATS.
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Yoshinobu Yamamoto 4-2, 0.92 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 5-2, 3.86 ERA
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | O 9 -105 | -150 |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -130 | U 9 -115 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+14.50 Units / 207% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+12.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.90 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Geraldo Perdomo has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 games (+13.00 Units / 144% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Pavin Smith has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.60 Units / 96% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+5.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.15 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+4.90 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+5.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.70 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+2.90 Units / 7% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 19-17 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 3.09% ROI).
- 25-12 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.6 Units / 7.75% ROI
- 21-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 9.73% ROI
- 16-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -16.3% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 18-19 against the Run Line (-2.8 Units / -5.94% ROI).
- 19-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -3.59% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -4.77% ROI
- 17-17 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -4.57% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -250 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 5.5 -118 | 5.5 -110 |
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yoshinobu Yamamoto has allowed an OPS of just .384 (76 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (27/40) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in two-strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 78% (36/46) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (27/40) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in two-strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .553 (42 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .337 — second Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has walked 4% of batters when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt had a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (538/758) in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has allowed a slugging percentage of .475 (28 Total Bases / 59 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .284 — fifth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 188-34 (.847) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 12-4 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Diamondbacks are 3-15 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
The Diamondbacks are 149-36 (.801) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Diamondbacks were 5-59 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .462 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .701 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,083 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (7,668 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters have struck out in just 16% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Diamondbacks are batting .277 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Diamondbacks have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 46% of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%. this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 51%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Diamondbacks pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Diamondbacks pitchers had an ERA of 4.68 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH (4,288 batted balls) in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Diamondbacks pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.5 MPH in the 2024 season (4,288 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
More MLB Reading:
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