- The Dodgers are -275 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Marlins TV Channel: FDFL | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+200) on Tuesday, May 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 24-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 17-17 ATS.
Dodgers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin 1-0, 4.50 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 2-3, 8.11 ERA
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -2.5 -115 | O 9.5 -110 | -250 |
| Marlins | +2.5 -105 | U 9.5 -110 | +200 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 65.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+17.10 Units / 171% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+11.20 Units / 44% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 61% ROI)
- Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+16.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Connor Norby has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.80 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+12.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Eric Wagaman has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+9.92 Units / 29% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.50 Units / 46% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.95 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 37% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 30 games (+10.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 33 games (+8.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.75 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 18-16 against the Run Line (+1.9 Units / 4.49% ROI).
- 24-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.95 Units / 10.27% ROI
- 20-15 when betting on the total runs Over for +4 Units / 7.56% ROI
- 15-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.65 Units / -12.24% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 17-17 against the Run Line (-1.95 Units / -4.58% ROI).
- 13-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -7.36% ROI
- 23-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.5 Units / 18.8% ROI
- 11-23 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.35 Units / -25.73% ROI
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Matt Mervis (MIA) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Agustin Ramirez (MIA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Eric Wagaman (MIA) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Chris Taylor (LAD) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (MIA) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tony Gonsolin had a strike rate of 75% (58/77) in his last start — 2nd highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 99th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed at least one HR in each of his last nine games dating back to July 7th, 2023 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Tony Gonsolin has thrown off-speed pitches 74% of the time (32/43) against right-handed batters over the past seven days (1 game) — highest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin allowed a BABIP of .234 vs left-handed batters in 2023 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .293 — 95th Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .436 (24-for-55) against Cal Quantrill this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 13 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 19% (60/319) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has a strikeout rate of just 30% (184 SO in 611 PAs) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .332 (611 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 19-3 (.864) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 186-34 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Dodgers are 120-60 (.667) at home since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins were just 14-31 (.311) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Mets (seventh best runs scored) today.
The Marlins are just 46-16 (.742) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Marlins were just 30-51 (.370) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Marlins are just 53-12 (.815) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .706 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .464 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .405.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins batted .281 against LHP in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Marlins hitters pulled just 42% of balls they’ve put into play in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters had an OBP of just .286 (1,976 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Marlins were just 4-17 (.190) against the run line (-61.9% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 9% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 7.53 (118.1 IP) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.37.
The Marlins have allowed 7.43 runs per game (104/14) on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.52.
The Marlins allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers had an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
More MLB Reading:
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