- The Dodgers are +100 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: FOX
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Saturday, May 24, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Flushing, Queens, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are 32-19 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 25-26 ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tony Gonsolin 2-0, 4.05 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 2-2, 2.86 ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 +100 | +100 |
| Mets | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -120 | -120 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+12.35 Units / 124% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+9.90 Units / 50% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.10 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+38.90 Units / 648% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+9.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.10 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.40 Units / 17% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 46 games (+11.89 Units / 21% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 51 games (+11.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games at home (+6.24 Units / 30% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 25-25 against the Run Line (-0.5 Units / -0.81% ROI).
- 32-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.25 Units / -1.27% ROI
- 29-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.45 Units / 9.7% ROI
- 22-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.15 Units / -16.34% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 25-26 against the Run Line (-0.21 Units / -0.33% ROI).
- 30-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.67% ROI
- 18-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.35 Units / -28.96% ROI
- 31-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.15 Units / 20% ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Juan Soto (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Gonsolin (LAD) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| David Peterson (NYM) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 41% of Tony Gonsolin’s pitches (41/100) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 60% — 0 Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin allowed a BABIP of .235 in 2023 — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 97th Percentile.
Tony Gonsolin has allowed three-ball counts to 29% of batters he faced (24/84 PA’s) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 20% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 18% (31/168) against Tony Gonsolin on the first pitch of at-bats in 2023 — tied for 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
9 of David Peterson’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — tied for 2nd most among among NL Starters; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 66% (35/53) against David Peterson when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 92.9 MPH on the 224 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (85/149) against David Peterson this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 193-35 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Dodgers are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 5-2 (.714) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Mets (15th best runs allowed) today.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Mets are 13-71 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .097.
The Mets are 40-33 (.548) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .790 (10,500 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .450 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (10,500 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .163 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Mets hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .223 with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 52% of the time since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (743.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .184 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Mets pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Mets pitchers walked 140 of 1,412 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in 2023 — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
More MLB Reading:
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