Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 25

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • The Mets are -135 favorites vs the Dodgers
  • Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: ESPN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (+100) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-120) on Sunday, May 25, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Dodgers are 32-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 26-26 ATS.

Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 2-1, 6.18 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Kodai Senga 4-3, 1.44 ERA

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +165O 8.5 -105+100
Mets +1.5 -200U 8.5 -115-120

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.75 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+11.75 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 away games (+8.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Brett Baty has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+37.90 Units / 541% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+10.25 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.95 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.35 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 29 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.65 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.20 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 52 games (+12.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games (+10.49 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 24 games at home (+7.95 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games at home (+7.34 Units / 34% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 25-26 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -2.4% ROI).

  • 32-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -2.36% ROI
  • 29-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 7.59% ROI
  • 23-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.15 Units / -14.27% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 26-26 against the Run Line (+0.79 Units / 1.2% ROI).

  • 31-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.25 Units / 2.96% ROI
  • 18-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.45 Units / -30.32% ROI
  • 32-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.15 Units / 21.37% ROI

Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +220 0.5 -275
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +225 0.5 -275
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 +260 0.5 -325
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +290 0.5 -350
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +325 0.5 -450

Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Mark Vientos (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Juan Soto (NYM) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kodai Senga (NYM) 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Landon Knack (LAD) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Landon Knack has allowed a slugging percentage of .800 (24 Total Bases / 30 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 31% (61/196) against Landon Knack in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (88/268) against Landon Knack since last season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Hitters have chased just 65 of Landon Knack’s 313 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .107 (9-for-84) against Kodai Senga’s non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .211 — 100th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .143 (12 Total Bases / 84 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .345 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .111 (36-for-324) against Kodai Senga with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 97th Percentile.

Kodai Senga allowed a slugging percentage of just .167 (54 Total Bases / 324 ABs) with two-strikes in 2023 — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 — 97th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 193-35 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

The Dodgers are 17-4 (.810) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.

The Dodgers are 19-5 (.792) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Dodgers are 62-43 (.590) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season They play the Mets (15th best runs allowed) today.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets were 8-60 (.118) when trailing entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .050.

The Mets were 11-52 (.175) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Mets are 8-78 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Mets are just 0-18 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .461 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .392.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,504 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Dodgers hitters have 371 extra-base hits out of 933 total hits (40%) against LHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (8,270 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .712.

Mets hitters have a groundball batting average of just .166 with runners on base this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.

The Mets batted just .238 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .254.

Mets hitters have struck out in just 20% of it’s PA’s against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets hitters had an OPS of .769 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Batters facing the Dodgers pitchers have struck out in the zone 51% of the time since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%. since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .187 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .258.

Dodgers pitchers had 282 three-pitch strikeouts in the 2024 season — most in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Mets pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 54% against Mets pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Mets pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Mets pitchers have walked 10% of batters since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.