Dodgers vs Mets Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 28, 2024, 11:02 AM
  • The Dodgers are -200 favorites vs the Mets
  • Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: SNLA | SNY

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-190) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+155) on Tuesday, May 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Dodgers are 33-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-29 ATS.

Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 6-3, 3.08 ERA
  • Mets starting pitcher: Tylor Megill 0-2, 3.00 ERA

Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -120O 8 -120-190
Mets +1.5 +100U 8 +100+155

Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+14.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+12.45 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 38 games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 13 away games (+10.00 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.00 Units / 260% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+12.15 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+9.35 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+2.05 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 32 games (+2.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games at home (+11.35 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 43 games (+8.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 21 games at home (+1.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-28 against the Run Line (-4.6 Units / -7.14% ROI).

  • 33-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -8.05% ROI
  • 28-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.55 Units / -0.91% ROI
  • 26-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.85 Units / -7.94% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-29 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -12.49% ROI).

  • 22-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.7 Units / -16.8% ROI
  • 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.6 Units / 1.08% ROI
  • 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.15 Units / -9.47% ROI

Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Pete Alonso (NYM) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Starling Marte (NYM) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Francisco Lindor (NYM) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Will Smith (LAD) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Shohei Ohtani (LAD) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Freddie Freeman (LAD) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Andy Pages (LAD) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tylor Megill (NYM) 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Tyler Glasnow (LAD) 7.5 -125 7.5 -105

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 36% (36 SO in 99 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 49% (25 SO in 51 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has allowed an OBP of just .144 (153 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.

Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 61% (38 SO in 62 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (414/704) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 60% (523/871) this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (146/299) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 12% (11 SO in 90 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Dodgers are 220-39 (.849) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

The Dodgers are 120-19 (.863) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.

The Dodgers are 90-44 (.672) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Dodgers are 48-19 (.716) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

The Mets are just 76-14 (.844) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.

The Mets are just 28-33 (.459) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .571.

The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (10,530 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (6,021 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .724.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.

The Mets have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .619 (1,003 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .709.

The Mets have been successful on 62% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Mets hitters are slugging just .332 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Dodgers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 614 of 8,029 batters (8%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Mets pitchers have walked 57 of 469 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 24 of 208 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this month (23 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Mets pitchers have walked 197 of 1,881 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets pitchers have walked 221 of 2,008 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
  • Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.