- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: SNLA | SNY | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-120) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+100) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are 35-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 23-31 ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 5-0, 3.54 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | O 8.5 +100 | -120 |
| Mets | +1.5 -165 | U 8.5 -120 | +100 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+14.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 away games (+13.20 Units / 88% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+13.15 Units / 55% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+12.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games at home (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+12.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.30 Units / 43% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.20 Units / 55% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 21 away games (+8.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games (+4.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 32 games (+1.05 Units / 2% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 games (+6.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 29-28 against the Run Line (-2.3 Units / -3.45% ROI).
- 35-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -5.98% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -4.33% ROI
- 28-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -4.5% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 23-31 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -15.61% ROI).
- 22-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -19.58% ROI
- 26-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.55 Units / -2.68% ROI
- 25-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.15 Units / -5.56% ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -160 |
| James Paxton (LAD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
James Paxton has walked 16 of 80 batters (20%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 9 of 42 batters (21%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.
James Paxton has walked 26 of 169 right-handed batters (15%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
James Paxton has a strikeout rate of just 26% (28 SO in 109 PAs) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (69/125) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 36% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (295/555) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (42/130) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,728/2,884) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 122-19 (.865) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Dodgers are 49-19 (.721) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Dodgers are 222-39 (.851) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 244-112 (.685) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are just 63-30 (.677) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Mets are just 9-49 (.155) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mets are just 76-15 (.835) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mets are just 5-93 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .785 (6,068 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .447 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 28 double plays in 442 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .784 (10,577 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets have won just 25% of games in which they have scored first at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
Mets hitters are slugging just .321 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
The Mets are batting just .200 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Mets hitters have an OPS of just .602 (1,071 PA’s) at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 9 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .205 against Dodgers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Dodgers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 57 of 488 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 72% of their games this month (25 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Mets pitchers have walked 197 of 1,900 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 223 of 2,087 batters (11%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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