- The Dodgers are -135 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: FS1
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Thursday, October 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:08pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are 103-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 90-82 ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: , ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: , ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 7 +100 | -135 |
| Mets | +1.5 -150 | U 7 -120 | +115 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the will win Thursday‘s MLB game with confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+35.50 Units / 323% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 43 games (+11.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+29.00 Units / 483% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 49 games (+13.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 19 games at home (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+11.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 88 games (+26.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 45 games (+10.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 60 games (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+3.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 113 games (+23.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 114 games (+18.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+12.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 86-84 against the Run Line (-1.9 Units / -0.93% ROI).
- 103-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -2.18% ROI
- 95-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.05 Units / 10.19% ROI
- 69-95 when betting on the total runs Under for -35.45 Units / -18.91% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 90-82 against the Run Line (+4.55 Units / 2.05% ROI).
- 95-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 4.67% ROI
- 89-78 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 1.52% ROI
- 78-89 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -9.91% ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yoshinobu Yamamoto (LAD) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +125 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -105 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .289 (13-for-45) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in his last three starts — tied for 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .216 — 11th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .174 (8-for-46) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto on low fastballs in the 2024 season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .269 — 93rd Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .333 (8-for-24) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto in his last three starts — tied for 5th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .216 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .241 (7-for-29) against Yoshinobu Yamamoto with two-strikes in his last three starts — 7th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .147 — 12th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 49% (469/961) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 59% (1,676/2,819) in the 2024 season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
16 of Jose Quintana’s 44 breaking pitch strikeouts (36%) were backdoor in the 2024 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 14% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 24-138 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 195-99 (.663) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 17-192 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets are just 15-68 (.181) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are 91-39 (.700) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Mets are 12-138 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (9,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (13,550 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.225 (2,488 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .449 against RHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .256 (9,888 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,964 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Mets have been successful on 56% of their hit & run attempts since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.59 (4343.1 IP) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.13.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (2216.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 261 of 2,857 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets pitchers walked 121 of 1,445 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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