New York Yankees 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

New York Yankees left fielder Juan Soto walks on the dugout during a spring training baseball game against the Minnesota Twins Monday, Feb. 26, 2024, in Tampa, Fla.
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • After winning 82 games last year, New York enters 2024 with a win total of 91.5.
  • The Yankees should experience a much-needed offensive boost after trading for Juan Soto.

After finishing fourth in the American League East, the New York Yankees traded for star Juan Soto in the offseason.ย 

Now, the Yankees enter 2024 as an MLB betting favorite.

Does New York have the talent to reach the World Series for the first time since winning it all in 2009, or will the AL East be too much again?

Yankees Futures Odds

Win Total: 91.5
AL East: +180
AL Pennant: +400
World Series: +900

The Yankees are used to entering the year with high expectations.

They have opened +900 or better to win the World Series in six of the last seven seasons, while their pennant odds have been between +185 and +550.

New Yorkโ€™s win total has been in the 90s for the last five full campaigns, not counting the COVID-shortened season in 2020. That streak will continue in 2024, which has led to mixed results.

  • 2023 win total: 94.5 (82 wins)
  • 2022 win total: 91.5 (99 wins)
  • 2021 win total: 95.5 (92 wins)
  • 2019 win total: 96.5 (103 wins)
  • 2018 win total: 94.5 (100 wins)

Yankees Offseason Moves

In December, New York made a deal with the San Diego Padres that brought Soto and Trent Grisham to town. The Yankees lost some valuable arms in the trade, but their offense should get a much-needed boost.

Additions

PlayerPos.
Caleb FergusonLHP
Victor GonzรกlezLHP
Trent GrishamOF
Juan SotoOF
Marcus StromanRHP
Alex VerdugoOF

Departures

PlayerPos.
Isiah Kiner-FalefaINF/OF
Kyle HigashiokaC
Michael KingRHP
Wandy PeraltaLHP
Luis SeverinoRHP

It would be easy to question if Soto will spend more than one season in pinstripes, as he is set to enter free agency next offseason and turned down a $440 million deal from the Washington Nationals in 2022.

But itโ€™s just as easy to get excited about a lineup featuring Soto and Aaron Judge. The Yankees went from leading the AL in runs per game (4.89) in 2022, when they won the AL East, to 25th in all of baseball in 2023.

With Soto in the lineup, New Yorkโ€™s offense should bounce back this summer. But will that lead to more wins?

Yankees 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Yankees to finish with under 91.5 wins (-105)

After reigning AL Cy Young odds winner Gerrit Cole was sidelined in the spring, the Yankees saw their win total drop two games from 93.5 to 91.5.

But that number is still too high, as evidenced by the vig moving from -105 to -115 since this MLB betting pick was made.

For one, there is no timetable for Cole’s return. He was informed he doesn’t need Tommy John surgery, at least for now. It’s never easy to lose a Cy Young winner, but New York’s rotation depth is a concern.

If things do get out of hand, the Yankees could always opt to trade away Soto at the deadline. The AL East is loaded, and the margin of error is thin for all contending teams in this division.

For what it’s worth, FanGraphs has the Yankees winning the division at 87.2-74.8.

There is plenty of reason to not trust any AL East team with a win total in the 90s, but especially a ballclub that has already lost one of its best players before the opener.

  • 2024 Yankees Schedule
    Date Matchup
    3/28/24 Yankees at Astros
    3/29/24 Yankees at Astros
    3/30/24 Yankees at Astros
    3/31/24 Yankees at Astros
    4/1/24 Yankees at D-backs
    4/2/24 Yankees at D-backs
    4/3/24 Yankees at D-backs
    4/5/24 Blue Jays at Yankees
    4/6/24 Blue Jays at Yankees
    4/7/24 Blue Jays at Yankees
    4/8/24 Marlins at Yankees
    4/9/24 Marlins at Yankees
    4/10/24 Marlins at Yankees
    4/12/24 Yankees at Guardians
    4/13/24 Yankees at Guardians
    4/14/24 Yankees at Guardians
    4/15/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    4/16/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    4/17/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    4/19/24 Rays at Yankees
    4/20/24 Rays at Yankees
    4/21/24 Rays at Yankees
    4/22/24 Athletics at Yankees
    4/23/24 Athletics at Yankees
    4/24/24 Athletics at Yankees
    4/25/24 Athletics at Yankees
    4/26/24 Yankees at Brewers
    4/27/24 Yankees at Brewers
    4/28/24 Yankees at Brewers
    4/29/24 Yankees at Orioles
    4/30/24 Yankees at Orioles
    5/1/24 Yankees at Orioles
    5/2/24 Yankees at Orioles
    5/3/24 Tigers at Yankees
    5/4/24 Tigers at Yankees
    5/5/24 Tigers at Yankees
    5/7/24 Astros at Yankees
    5/8/24 Astros at Yankees
    5/9/24 Astros at Yankees
    5/10/24 Yankees at Rays
    5/11/24 Yankees at Rays
    5/12/24 Yankees at Rays
    5/14/24 Yankees at Twins
    5/15/24 Yankees at Twins
    5/16/24 Yankees at Twins
    5/17/24 White Sox at Yankees
    5/18/24 White Sox at Yankees
    5/19/24 White Sox at Yankees
    5/20/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/21/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/22/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/23/24 Mariners at Yankees
    5/24/24 Yankees at Padres
    5/25/24 Yankees at Padres
    5/26/24 Yankees at Padres
    5/28/24 Yankees at Angels
    5/29/24 Yankees at Angels
    5/30/24 Yankees at Angels
    5/31/24 Yankees at Giants
    6/1/24 Yankees at Giants
    6/2/24 Yankees at Giants
    6/4/24 Twins at Yankees
    6/5/24 Twins at Yankees
    6/6/24 Twins at Yankees
    6/7/24 Dodgers at Yankees
    6/8/24 Dodgers at Yankees
    6/9/24 Dodgers at Yankees
    6/10/24 Yankees at Royals
    6/11/24 Yankees at Royals
    6/12/24 Yankees at Royals
    6/13/24 Yankees at Royals
    6/14/24 Yankees at Red Sox
    6/15/24 Yankees at Red Sox
    6/16/24 Yankees at Red Sox
    6/18/24 Orioles at Yankees
    6/19/24 Orioles at Yankees
    6/20/24 Orioles at Yankees
    6/21/24 Braves at Yankees
    6/22/24 Braves at Yankees
    6/23/24 Braves at Yankees
    6/25/24 Yankees at Mets
    6/26/24 Yankees at Mets
    6/27/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    6/28/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    6/29/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    6/30/24 Yankees at Blue Jays
    7/2/24 Reds at Yankees
    7/3/24 Reds at Yankees
    7/4/24 Reds at Yankees
    7/5/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    7/6/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    7/7/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    7/9/24 Yankees at Rays
    7/10/24 Yankees at Rays
    7/11/24 Yankees at Rays
    7/12/24 Yankees at Orioles
    7/13/24 Yankees at Orioles
    7/14/24 Yankees at Orioles
    7/19/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/20/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/21/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/22/24 Rays at Yankees
    7/23/24 Mets at Yankees
    7/24/24 Mets at Yankees
    7/26/24 Yankees at Red Sox
    7/27/24 Yankees at Red Sox
    7/28/24 Yankees at Red Sox
    7/29/24 Yankees at Phillies
    7/30/24 Yankees at Phillies
    7/31/24 Yankees at Phillies
    8/2/24 Blue Jays at Yankees
    8/3/24 Blue Jays at Yankees
    8/4/24 Blue Jays at Yankees
    8/6/24 Angels at Yankees
    8/7/24 Angels at Yankees
    8/8/24 Angels at Yankees
    8/9/24 Rangers at Yankees
    8/10/24 Rangers at Yankees
    8/11/24 Rangers at Yankees
    8/12/24 Yankees at White Sox
    8/13/24 Yankees at White Sox
    8/14/24 Yankees at White Sox
    8/16/24 Yankees at Tigers
    8/17/24 Yankees at Tigers
    8/18/24 Yankees at Tigers
    8/20/24 Guardians at Yankees
    8/21/24 Guardians at Yankees
    8/22/24 Guardians at Yankees
    8/23/24 Rockies at Yankees
    8/24/24 Rockies at Yankees
    8/25/24 Rockies at Yankees
    8/26/24 Yankees at Nationals
    8/27/24 Yankees at Nationals
    8/28/24 Yankees at Nationals
    8/30/24 Cardinals at Yankees
    8/31/24 Cardinals at Yankees
    9/1/24 Cardinals at Yankees
    9/2/24 Yankees at Rangers
    9/3/24 Yankees at Rangers
    9/4/24 Yankees at Rangers
    9/6/24 Yankees at Cubs
    9/7/24 Yankees at Cubs
    9/8/24 Yankees at Cubs
    9/9/24 Royals at Yankees
    9/10/24 Royals at Yankees
    9/11/24 Royals at Yankees
    9/12/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    9/13/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    9/14/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    9/15/24 Red Sox at Yankees
    9/17/24 Yankees at Mariners
    9/18/24 Yankees at Mariners
    9/19/24 Yankees at Mariners
    9/20/24 Yankees at Athletics
    9/21/24 Yankees at Athletics
    9/22/24 Yankees at Athletics
    9/24/24 Orioles at Yankees
    9/25/24 Orioles at Yankees
    9/26/24 Orioles at Yankees
    9/27/24 Pirates at Yankees
    9/28/24 Pirates at Yankees
    9/29/24 Pirates at Yankees
  • 2023 MLB Team ATS Records
    Team ATS Record ATS Win Pct.
    Reds 97-65 .599
    Orioles 96-66 .593
    Dodgers 92-70 .568
    Rangers 88-74 .543
    Tigers 87-75 .537
    Diamondbacks 86-76 .531
    Rays 86-76 .531
    Nationals 86-76 .531
    Pirates 84-78 .519
    Braves 83-79 .512
    White Sox 82-80 .506
    Twins 82-80 .506
    Padres 82-80 .506
    Cubs 81-81 .500
    Astros 81-81 .500
    Guardians 80-82 .494
    Rockies 80-82 .494
    Brewers 80-82 .494
    Yankees 79-83 .488
    Red Sox 77-85 .475
    Athletics 77-85 .475
    Mariners 77-85 .475
    Cardinals 77-85 .475
    Angels 75-87 .463
    Blue Jays 75-87 .463
    Marlins 74-88 .457
    Mets 74-88 .457
    Giants 72-90 .444
    Phillies 71-91 .438
    Royals 69-93 .426
  • 2023 MLB Team Over/Under Records
    Team Over-Under Record Over Pct. Under Pct.
    Braves 94-69-3 .577 .423
    Dodgers 90-67-8 .573 .427
    Rays 89-69-6 .563 .437
    Rangers 93-75-11 .554 .446
    Pirates 87-71-4 .551 .449
    Athletics 84-70-8 .546 .455
    Astros 91-77-5 .542 .458
    Angels 82-70-10 .540 .461
    Twins 85-78-5 .522 .479
    Orioles 80-74-11 .520 .481
    Mariners 80-75-7 .516 .484
    Red Sox 81-77-4 .513 .487
    Cubs 80-77-5 .510 .490
    Royals 79-77-6 .506 .494
    Tigers 78-78-6 .500 .500
    Nationals 77-79-6 .494 .506
    Reds 79-82-1 .491 .509
    Phillies 79-83-13 .488 .512
    Cardinals 76-80-6 .487 .513
    Marlins 74-84-6 .468 .532
    Brewers 73-85-6 .462 .538
    White Sox 71-83-8 .461 .539
    Rockies 74-87-1 .460 .540
    Yankees 71-84-7 .458 .542
    Diamondbacks 78-93-8 .456 .544
    Blue Jays 70-84-10 .455 .546
    Padres 67-86-9 .438 .562
    Mets 67-88-7 .432 .568
    Guardians 68-91-3 .428 .572
    Giants 67-91-4 .424 .576

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.