- The Red Sox have had one playoff appearance since winning the 2018 World Series.
- I predict Alex Cora to win AL Manager of the Year (+750) in 2025.
The Boston Red Sox took a step in the right direction in 2024, finishing third in the American League East division with an 81-81 record.
Boston has only had one winning season and one playoff appearance in the 2020s, but its young core appears poised to change that this year.
Hereโs a look at the latest MLB betting odds and my prediction for the Red Sox ahead of the 2025 season:
Red Sox MLB Odds 2025
Win Total: 86.5
AL East: +400
AL Pennant: +1000
World Series: +2500
The Red Soxโs MLB odds have climbed this offseason, indicating that the market believes they will be in the mix. Boston is +2500 to win the World Series after opening with a +4000 value. The Red Sox were 60/1 long shots the last two seasons.
For comparison, check out this breakdown of Bostonโs preseason odds in recent years:
Year | Win Total | AL East | AL Pennant | World Series |
---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 77.5 | +2000 | +3000 | +6600 |
2023 | 78.5 | +2000 | +3000 | +6000 |
2022 | 85.5 | +600 | +1100 | +1800 |
2021 | 80.5 | +2000 | +2200 | +5000 |
Red Sox Depth Chart 2025
According to RosterResource, the Red Soxโs depth chart has some notable improvements in 2025.
The Red Sox traded for Garrett Crochet to be their ace, while Walker Buehler was added for rotation depth. Boston also signed Aroldis Chapman to boost its bullpen.
At the start of spring training, Boston signed Alex Bregman to a three-year, $120 million deal. All of these additions should help the Red Sox compete in the AL East.
Projected lineup
Player | Position | Hand | 2024 wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|
Jarren Duran | LF | L | 129 |
Rafael Devers | 3B | L | 134 |
Alex Bregman | 2B | R | 118 |
Triston Casas | 1B | L | 119 |
Masataka Yoshida | DH | L | 115 |
Trevor Story | SS | R | 101 |
Wilyer Abreu | RF | L | 114 |
Connor Wong | C | R | 110 |
Ceddanne Rafaela | CF | R | 79 |
Projected rotation
Player | Hand | 2024 ERA | 2024 IP |
---|---|---|---|
Garrett Crochet | LHP | 3.58 | 146 |
Tanner Houck | RHP | 3.12 | 178.2 |
Walker Buehler | RHP | 5.38 | 75.1 |
Lucas Giolito | RHP | N/A | N/A |
Brayan Bello | RHP | 4.49 | 162.1 |
Red Sox Player to Watch in 2025
Left-hander Garrett Crochet, 25, is now Bostonโs ace for the foreseeable future after being traded from the Chicago White Sox.
Crochet finally got his crack to be a starter last season, posting a 3.58 ERA with 209 strikeouts across 146 innings in 32 starts. With a season under his belt, he could take another step, especially with pitching coach Andrew Bailey helping him.
Crochet is the No. 2 favorite in the AL Cy Young market, trading at a +600 value behind last yearโs winner, Tarik Skubal. Crochet is also +600 to lead the league in strikeouts, trailing only Paul Skenes in that market.
Red Sox Betting Prediction for 2025
Based on the updated MLB betting market, I predict Alex Cora will win AL Manager of the Year (+750) during the 2025 season.
I have been high on the Red Sox since they opened as a +4000 World Series odds long shot on the first day of the offseason. Their value in that market is now +2500 after making several notable additions to the roster.
I won’t stop you from taking Boston’s current value because this team has championship upside in a wide-open American League, but I prefer Cora’s odds to win AL Manager of the Year at this time.
Since 2012, all 26 Manager of the Year winners have been on teams that made the playoffs. Of those 26, 22 were on teams that didn’t make the postseason the prior year.
Boston was in the wild-card hunt last September, but this team hasn’t made the postseason since 2021. The Red Sox are -125 to make the playoffs this spring, which is better than any other team that also missed the postseason last year:
- Rangers -120
- Mariners -110
- Twins +110
- Rays +180
- Blue Jays +240
For my money, this is the best way to bet on a breakout year for a Boston franchise trending in the right direction. Cora could become the first Red Sox skipper to win Manager of the Year since 1999.
Prediction: Alex Cora to Win AL Manager of the Year (+750)
- Note: Pick was made on Feb. 14.
Red Sox Schedule
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