Boston Red Sox Preview 2025: MLB Odds & Prediction

Boston Red Sox' Rafael Devers against the New York Yankees during a baseball game at Fenway Park Sunday Aug. 14, 2022, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Paul Connors)
  • The Red Sox have had one playoff appearance since winning the 2018 World Series.
  • I predict Alex Cora to win AL Manager of the Year (+750) in 2025.

The Boston Red Sox took a step in the right direction in 2024, finishing third in the American League East division with an 81-81 record.

Boston has only had one winning season and one playoff appearance in the 2020s, but its young core appears poised to change that this year.

Hereโ€™s a look at the latest MLB betting odds and my prediction for the Red Sox ahead of the 2025 season:

Red Sox MLB Odds 2025

Win Total: 86.5
AL East: +400
AL Pennant: +1000
World Series: +2500

The Red Soxโ€™s MLB odds have climbed this offseason, indicating that the market believes they will be in the mix. Boston is +2500 to win the World Series after opening with a +4000 value. The Red Sox were 60/1 long shots the last two seasons.

For comparison, check out this breakdown of Bostonโ€™s preseason odds in recent years:

YearWin TotalAL EastAL PennantWorld Series
202477.5+2000+3000+6600
202378.5+2000+3000+6000
202285.5+600+1100+1800
202180.5+2000+2200+5000

Red Sox Depth Chart 2025

According to RosterResource, the Red Soxโ€™s depth chart has some notable improvements in 2025.

The Red Sox traded for Garrett Crochet to be their ace, while Walker Buehler was added for rotation depth. Boston also signed Aroldis Chapman to boost its bullpen.

At the start of spring training, Boston signed Alex Bregman to a three-year, $120 million deal. All of these additions should help the Red Sox compete in the AL East.

Projected lineup

PlayerPositionHand2024 wRC+
Jarren DuranLFL129
Rafael Devers3BL134
Alex Bregman2BR118
Triston Casas1BL119
Masataka YoshidaDHL115
Trevor StorySSR101
Wilyer AbreuRFL114
Connor WongCR110
Ceddanne RafaelaCFR79

Projected rotation

PlayerHand2024 ERA2024 IP
Garrett CrochetLHP3.58146
Tanner HouckRHP3.12178.2
Walker BuehlerRHP5.3875.1
Lucas GiolitoRHPN/AN/A
Brayan BelloRHP4.49162.1

Red Sox Player to Watch in 2025

Left-hander Garrett Crochet, 25, is now Bostonโ€™s ace for the foreseeable future after being traded from the Chicago White Sox.

Crochet finally got his crack to be a starter last season, posting a 3.58 ERA with 209 strikeouts across 146 innings in 32 starts. With a season under his belt, he could take another step, especially with pitching coach Andrew Bailey helping him.

Crochet is the No. 2 favorite in the AL Cy Young market, trading at a +600 value behind last yearโ€™s winner, Tarik Skubal. Crochet is also +600 to lead the league in strikeouts, trailing only Paul Skenes in that market.

Red Sox Betting Prediction for 2025

Based on the updated MLB betting market, I predict Alex Cora will win AL Manager of the Year (+750) during the 2025 season.

I have been high on the Red Sox since they opened as a +4000 World Series odds long shot on the first day of the offseason. Their value in that market is now +2500 after making several notable additions to the roster.

I won’t stop you from taking Boston’s current value because this team has championship upside in a wide-open American League, but I prefer Cora’s odds to win AL Manager of the Year at this time.

Since 2012, all 26 Manager of the Year winners have been on teams that made the playoffs. Of those 26, 22 were on teams that didn’t make the postseason the prior year.

Boston was in the wild-card hunt last September, but this team hasn’t made the postseason since 2021. The Red Sox are -125 to make the playoffs this spring, which is better than any other team that also missed the postseason last year:

  • Rangers -120
  • Mariners -110
  • Twins +110
  • Rays +180
  • Blue Jays +240

For my money, this is the best way to bet on a breakout year for a Boston franchise trending in the right direction. Cora could become the first Red Sox skipper to win Manager of the Year since 1999.

Prediction: Alex Cora to Win AL Manager of the Year (+750)

  • Note: Pick was made on Feb. 14.

Red Sox Schedule

2025 MLB Team Previews & Predictions

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.