Miami Marlins 2024 Betting Preview: Futures Odds & Prediction

The Miami Marlins still haven’t won a playoff game since their 2003 World Series run, but they took a step in the right direction last season.

Miami notched its second playoff berth since 2003 before losing 2-0 to the Philadelphia Phillies in last year’s wild-card round. The only other time Miami made the postseason in the previous 20 years was during the COVID-shortened campaign in 2020.

But MLB odds expect the Marlins to take a step back in 2024.

Marlins Futures Odds

Win Total: 77.5
NL East: +2200
NL Pennant: +4000
World Series: +8000

After winning 84 games last year, Miami has a win total of 78.5 as an MLB betting long shot. That’s because the Marlins ran hot with a 33-14 record in one-run games in 2023.

Still, Miami’s preseason win total is up two games from its preseason mark (76.5) the last two years. The Marlins haven’t had a win total this high since they had an over/under of 78.5 in 2016.

Marlins Offseason Moves

Peter Bendix became Miami’s president of baseball operations in early November after serving as vice president of baseball operations for the Tampa Bay Rays since 2021.

Additions

Departures

The Marlins won’t have their ace from last year, as Sandy Alcántara will spend 2024 rehabbing from Tommy John surgery. Soler signed with the San Francisco Giants after an All-Star campaign last year.

Miami did bring in Anderson in late February to stick the shortstop near the top of the lineup. Anderson led the majors in batting average (.318) between 2019-22, but hit just .245 last season.

Marlins 2024 Betting Prediction

Prediction: Randy Arozarena to record more homers than Jazz Chisholm Jr. (-140)

Take advantage of all the MLB betting lines by exploring home run matchups before the season, where you are betting on one player to finish with more homers than the other.

In this case, Miami’s Jazz Chisholm has a head-to-head market with Tampa Bay’s Randy Arozarena. The favorite is priced at -140, while the underdog is +105.

Arozarena has finished with more homers than Chisholm for three straight seasons, with the former hitting 20-plus bombs every year and the latter having yet to reach that mark in a single campaign.

Chisholm, who was on the cover of last year’s MLB The Show following his lone All-Star campaign, is projected for 19 home runs by ZiPS at FanGraphs. Arozarena is projected for 22.

2024 MLB Team Previews & Predictions