- The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Mets
- Dodgers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Mets TV Channel: FS1
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (+115) on Friday, October 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 5:08pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Dodgers are 104-67 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 90-83 ATS.
Dodgers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 14-8, 3.17 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 11-3, 2.86 ERA
Dodgers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -115 | -135 |
| Mets | +1.5 -155 | U 7.5 -105 | +115 |
Dodgers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Enrique Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+34.50 Units / 288% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+13.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+12.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Barnes has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+11.05 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+29.00 Units / 483% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 45 games (+13.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+12.10 Units / 19% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 57 of their last 89 games (+27.40 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 46 games (+12.20 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 61 games (+10.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.85 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 71 of their last 114 games (+22.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 66 of their last 115 games (+16.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games at home (+13.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games at home (+13.35 Units / 21% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 87-84 against the Run Line (-0.6 Units / -0.29% ROI).
- 104-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.35 Units / -1.83% ROI
- 96-69 when betting on the total runs Over for +20.05 Units / 10.66% ROI
- 69-96 when betting on the total runs Under for -36.5 Units / -19.36% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 90-83 against the Run Line (+3.05 Units / 1.37% ROI).
- 95-78 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.15 Units / 4.19% ROI
- 90-78 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.9 Units / 2.03% ROI
- 78-90 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.65 Units / -10.42% ROI
Mets vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Mets vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Mets vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mets vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| David Peterson (NYM) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -115 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of 32% (393/1,223) against Jack Flaherty in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty had a strikeout rate of 29% (73/250) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 89th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty threw breaking pitches 51% of the time (292/571) when ahead in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (80/207) against Jack Flaherty with runners in scoring position in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 173 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.
Opponents are hitting .405 (15-for-37) against David Peterson in close and late situations since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .232 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 50% (87/173) against David Peterson on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
David Peterson has not allowed a HR in any of his last five starts dating back to September 3rd — Scott Alexander has the longest active streak at 13.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 309-177 (.636) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 305-144 (.679) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Mets are 17-192 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Mets are just 15-68 (.181) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are 12-138 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Mets are 91-39 (.700) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .787 (9,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (9,041 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (13,550 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.225 (2,488 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters slugged .440 against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Mets hitters had an OBP of .329 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Mets hitters had an OPS of .769 (1,651 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Mets scored first in just 43% of their road games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.40 (2216.0 IP) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 3.58 (1483.0 IP) at home since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.11.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 261 of 2,857 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets pitchers walked 586 of 6,098 batters (10%) in the 2024 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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