- The Dodgers are -150 favorites vs the Padres
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: SNLA | PDTV
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+125) on Wednesday, June 11, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 40-28 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 37-29 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Justin Wrobleski 1-2, 7.21 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 3-4, 3.76 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +105 | O 9.5 -105 | -150 |
| Padres | +1.5 -130 | U 9.5 -115 | +125 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Andy Pages has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+10.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+10.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.65 Units / 78% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Arraez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games at home (+14.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Gavin Sheets has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Manny Machado has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 29 of their last 45 games (+11.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 22 games (+2.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 away games (+2.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+10.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games at home (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games at home (+6.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 30-37 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -10.1% ROI).
- 40-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.75 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 40-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.75 Units / 13.03% ROI
- 28-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.4 Units / -20.6% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 37-29 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 5.58% ROI).
- 38-28 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 4.89% ROI
- 27-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.25 Units / -18.43% ROI
- 37-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.85 Units / 9.32% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -235 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andy Pages (LAD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Randy Vasquez (SD) | 2.5 -175 | 2.5 +130 |
| Justin Wrobleski (LAD) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -125 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Justin Wrobleski had a first-pitch in-zone of 73% (19/26) in his last start — 7th best in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 57% — 93rd Percentile.
Justin Wrobleski had a strike rate of just 61% (63/104) in his last start — 10th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (7/49) against Justin Wrobleski this month (1 game) — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (9/46) against Justin Wrobleski over the past seven days (1 game) — tied for 5th lowest among NL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 30% — 13th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Randy Vasquez struck out just 8% (16/198) of left-handed batters he faced in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Randy Vasquez has struck out just 9% (31/335) of left-handed batters he faced since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 34% (56/163) against Randy Vasquez in the 2024 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .334 (98-for-293) against Randy Vasquez since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 195-38 (.837) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Dodgers are 18-5 (.783) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers were 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Dodgers were 52-29 (.642) at home in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 7-17 (.292) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .136.
The Padres are 16-80 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .098.
The Padres are 48-23 (.676) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Padres are 129-96 (.573) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .786 (8,901 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Dodgers are batting .372 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .459 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .391.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .340 (10,969 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out just 799 times in 4,486 PA’s (18%) against RHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Padres batted .201 with two-strikes in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 11% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers walked 454 of 6,018 batters (7%) in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers had an ERA of 3.49 (743.0 IP) at home in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Dodgers pitchers with runners on base this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .257.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes in the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 39% of their games since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since the 2023 season (9,449 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
More MLB Reading:
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