- The Padres are -150 favorites vs the Dodgers
- Dodgers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Dodgers / Padres TV Channel: FS1
The Los Angeles Dodgers (+115) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-135) on Wednesday, October 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:08pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Dodgers are 99-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 85-82 ATS.
Dodgers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Dylan Cease 14-11, 3.65 ERA
Dodgers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | +1.5 -200 | O 7.5 +100 | +115 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 7.5 -120 | -135 |
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 83 games (+24.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 away games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 55 games (+6.70 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 22% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 90 games (+24.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 71 of their last 135 games (+8.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 89 games (+8.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 52 games at home (+3.40 Units / 6% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 82-83 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -3.08% ROI).
- 99-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -3.15% ROI
- 92-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +17.15 Units / 9.45% ROI
- 68-92 when betting on the total runs Under for -33.2 Units / -18.25% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 85-82 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 2.59% ROI).
- 97-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.65 Units / 5.57% ROI
- 87-76 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.85 Units / 2.1% ROI
- 76-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.25 Units / -10.96% ROI
Padres vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Padres vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dylan Cease (SD) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -125 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Brasier allowed a just .282 SLG last season — 13th best among qualified RPs– 94th Percentile. He allowed a SLG of .481 in the 2022 season — eighth worst among qualified RPs– third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .364 (24-for-66) against Ryan Brasier on low fastballs since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 — second Percentile.
Ryan Brasier has a strike rate of 68% (926/1,357) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 65% — 95th Percentile.
Ryan Brasier has allowed a slugging percentage of just .168 (21 Total Bases / 125 ABs) with two-strikes since last season — 8th best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .240 — 91st Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dylan Cease has walked 63 of 583 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Dylan Cease has walked 96 of 871 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .194 (148-for-762) against Dylan Cease when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — 100th Percentile.
Dylan Cease has thrown breaking pitches 55% of the time (1,752/3,188) this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Dodgers are 269-49 (.846) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 169-29 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Dodgers are 24-138 (.148) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Dodgers are 13-3 (.812) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Padres are 16-11 (.593) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Padres are 67-8 (.893) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Padres are 21-31 (.404) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Padres are 19-47 (.288) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .195.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of 1.225 (2,488 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.086.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (13,550 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .455 against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .275 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 278 strikeouts in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres are batting .201 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .168.
Padres hitters have just 1,077 strikeouts in 6,103 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,362 of 17,930 batters (8%) since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 43% of their games at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.1 MPH since last season (7,878 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Padres pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Padres vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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