- The Dodgers are -110 favorites vs the Phillies
- Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: FS1 | SNLA | NSP+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-110) on Saturday, April 5, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 8-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-1 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Roki Sasaki 0-0, 5.79 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 0-1, 8.45 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +154 | O 8.5 -105 | -110 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -110 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Dodgers vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+34.30 Units / 429% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+19.10 Units / 95% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+17.75 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Aaron Nola has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 7 games (+8.20 Units / 117% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.25 Units / 68% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 96 games (+29.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+15.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 68 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games at home (+14.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+10.63 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 6-3 against the Run Line (+3.6 Units / 38.1% ROI).
- 8-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 42.09% ROI
- 5-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.85 Units / 8.72% ROI
- 4-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.4 Units / -13.93% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 6-1 against the Run Line (+5.25 Units / 61.76% ROI).
- 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 34.42% ROI
- 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.5 Units / -44.87% ROI
- 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.9 Units / 38.16% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Michael Conforto (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Michael Conforto (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola (PHI) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Roki Sasaki (LAD) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Roki Sasaki has a strike rate of just 49% (57/117) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has a strike rate of just 46% (41/90) in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has a strike rate of just 48% (33/69) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Roki Sasaki has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 36% (17/47) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola threw his curveball 36% of the time (205/565) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Aaron Nola threw his curveball 34% of the time (207/613) when behind in the count in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 96th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (416/1,203) when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total CB; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (211/638) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 97th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 175-30 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Dodgers were 15-3 (.833) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 111-57 (.661) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Dodgers are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies are 191-140 (.577) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are 53-38 (.582) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Dodgers (13th best runs allowed) today.
The Phillies were 28-22 (.560) vs top 10 scoring offenses in the 2024 season They play the Dodgers (second best runs scored) today.
The Phillies are 81-59 (.579) after a loss since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .495.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting .467 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .219.
Dodgers hitters are slugging 1.133 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (9,241 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.213 (92 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Phillies hitters are slugging .762 versus relief pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .384.
The Phillies batted .307 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .263.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .780 (2,017 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers have walked 41 of 336 batters (12%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (81.0 IP) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
The Dodgers have won 43% of games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Dodgers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 34% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers had a strikeout rate of 34% over the last 14 days of the regular season (7 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 35% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Dodgers vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
