- The Dodgers are -125 favorites vs the Phillies
- Dodgers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Phillies TV Channel: SNLA | NSPA | MLBN
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (+105) on Sunday, April 6, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Dodgers are 9-1 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 6-2 ATS.
Dodgers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez 0-0, 1.69 ERA
Dodgers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +140 | O 7.5 -120 | -125 |
| Phillies | +1.5 -170 | U 7.5 +100 | +105 |
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 9 games (+33.30 Units / 370% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.50 Units / 82% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Edman has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.10 Units / 51% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Under in his last 6 games (+7.30 Units / 65% ROI)
- Cristopher Sanchez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+7.20 Units / 90% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 80% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 96 games (+29.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 53 games (+15.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 68 games (+13.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 73 games at home (+14.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 63 of their last 107 games (+13.15 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+10.63 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games (+9.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games at home (+9.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-3 against the Run Line (+5.1 Units / 48.8% ROI).
- 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 45.27% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -1.85% ROI
- 5-5 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.4 Units / -3.57% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 6-2 against the Run Line (+3.55 Units / 34.8% ROI).
- 6-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.65 Units / 24.5% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -51.41% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.9 Units / 44.57% ROI
Phillies vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow (LAD) | 7.5 +115 | 7.5 -155 |
| Cristopher Sanchez (PHI) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 38% (64/168) against Tyler Glasnow when he was behind in the count in 2023 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow has a strikeout rate of 59% (176 SO in 297 PAs) with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Glasnow had a strikeout rate of 59% (81/137) on low non-fastballs in the 2024 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .104 (56-for-539) against Tyler Glasnow with two-strikes since the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: .169 — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 61% (136/221) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts in the 2024 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 58% (324/557) against Cristopher Sanchez in the 2024 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (137/226) against Cristopher Sanchez in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (329/570) against Cristopher Sanchez since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 96th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Dodgers are 176-30 (.854) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Dodgers are 111-57 (.661) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Dodgers are 24-13 (.649) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .499.
The Dodgers are 58-41 (.586) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Phillies (12th best runs allowed) today.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Phillies were 83-15 (.847) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 107-60 (.641) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Phillies were 76-7 (.916) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .789 (9,272 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (9,272 PA’s) against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Dodgers hitters have 21 extra-base hits out of 33 total hits (64%) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.118 (102 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .678.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of 1.113 (119 PA’s) versus relief pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .701.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .331 (154 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Phillies hitters are slugging .660 versus relief pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .380.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
Dodgers pitchers walked 9 of 44 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last week of the regular season (5 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% against Dodgers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 1.90 (90.0 IP) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.03.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 16 of 90 batters (18%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Phillies have won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .233 against Phillies pitchers with runners on base since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Phillies won 55% of home games in which their opponents scored first last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
More MLB Reading:
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