- The Dodgers are -160 favorites vs the Reds
- Dodgers vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Dodgers / Reds TV Channel: FOX
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+135) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Dodgers are 33-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 28-23 ATS.
Dodgers vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Walker Buehler 1-1, 4.05 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Hunter Greene 2-2, 3.24 ERA
Dodgers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +100 | O 9 -105 | -160 |
| Reds | +1.5 -120 | U 9 -115 | +135 |
Dodgers vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 66.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Will Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 away games (+11.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 19 away games (+10.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Andy Pages has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Stuart Fairchild has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+14.00 Units / 140% ROI)
- Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 37 games (+10.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.50 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luke Maile has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Spencer Steer has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+9.55 Units / 38% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 43 games (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 30 games (+5.50 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 away games (+4.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 30 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.35 Units / 24% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 23 games at home (+14.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 33 games (+6.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.35 Units / 3% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-26 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -3.63% ROI).
- 33-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -5 Units / -4.9% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.85 Units / 3.2% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.95 Units / -11.79% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 28-23 against the Run Line (+2.35 Units / 3.41% ROI).
- 21-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.9 Units / -16.65% ROI
- 25-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -3.45% ROI
- 24-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.75 Units / -6.72% ROI
Reds vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Reds vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jacob Hurtubise (CIN) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tyler Stephenson (CIN) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Reds vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Reds vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hunter Greene (CIN) | 6.5 +105 | 6.5 -135 |
| Walker Buehler (LAD) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Walker Buehler has allowed a slugging percentage of .688 (22 Total Bases / 32 ABs) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .400 — fifth Percentile.
Walker Buehler has allowed an OBP of just .143 (21 PA’s) over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for 4th best in NL over the last week; League Avg: .267 — 93rd Percentile.
Walker Buehler has not walked any of the 21 batters that he has faced over the past seven days (1 games) — tied for best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 5% — 100th Percentile.
Walker Buehler has a strikeout rate of 33% (7 SO in 21 PAs) over the past seven days (1 games) — 4th best in NL over the last week; League Avg: 21% — 93rd Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
71% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (17 Total Bases / 125 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 96th Percentile.
Hunter Greene has walked 6 of 36 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
57% of Hunter Greene’s strikeouts have come on 97+ MPH fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 84 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Dodgers are 48-17 (.738) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 120-17 (.876) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .732.
The Dodgers are 220-37 (.856) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 31-10 (.756) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Reds are just 24-27 (.471) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are just 57-43 (.570) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Reds are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are 25-22 (.532) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .759 (4,458 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .695.
Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 27 double plays in 433 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .339 (10,472 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
The Reds are batting just .125 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .168.
The Reds are batting just .105 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Reds hitters have an OBP of just .282 (1,220 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Reds hitters are slugging just .145 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have picked-off 8 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Dodgers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Reds pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .296 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .253.
Reds pitchers have walked 1,385 of 14,444 batters (10%) since the 2022 season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Reds vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Wynns (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Sam Moll (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Noelvi Marte (Cincinnati Reds): Suspension, Suspension
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Out
- Nick Lodolo (Cincinnati Reds): Calf, 15-Day IL
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Alex Young (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 15-Day IL
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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