Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 10

Minnesota Twins' Max Kepler celebrates while crossing home plate to score the game-winning run against the San Diego Padres during the 11th inning of a baseball game Wednesday, May 10, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • The Dodgers are -165 favorites vs the Twins
  • Dodgers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | SNLA | MLBN

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-165) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+140) on Wednesday, April 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Dodgers are 10-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-6 ATS.

Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: Bobby Miller 1-1, 5.88 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Chris Paddack 0-0, 4.50 ERA

Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 -105O 8.5 -105-165
Twins +1.5 -115U 8.5 -115+140

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 62.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.50 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+12.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Will Smith has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+10.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+9.90 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Alex Kirilloff has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 85% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 74 away games (+18.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 7-7 against the Run Line (-0.54 Units / -3.48% ROI).

  • 10-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 11.03% ROI
  • 9-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.62 Units / 29.85% ROI
  • 4-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.8 Units / -37.61% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-6 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -22.46% ROI).

  • 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -40.72% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.85 Units / -36.84% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.95 Units / 31.38% ROI

Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ohtani 0.5 +210 0.5 -250
Muncy 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Hernandez 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Betts 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Buxton 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Twins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Hernandez 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Rojas 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Kirilloff 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Correa 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Muncy 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Twins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ohtani 0.5 +100 0.5 -130
Muncy 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Hernandez 0.5 +130 0.5 -165
Freeman 0.5 +130 0.5 -175
Betts 0.5 +160 0.5 -210

Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paddack 4.5 -125 4.5 -105
Miller 6.5 +105 6.5 -135

Bobby Miller has a strikeout rate of 44% (14 SO in 32 PAs) this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.

Bobby Miller had an average fastball velocity of 99.0 MPH in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.6 — 100th Percentile.

Bobby Miller has an average fastball velocity of 98.4 MPH this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 99th Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit just .181 against Bobby Miller since last season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 100th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Paddack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 40% (6/15) of opposing batters this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 15% (6/40) against Chris Paddack this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Chris Paddack has located his changeup inside 53% of the time (16/30) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Chris Paddack has a strike rate of just 57% (47/82) this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Dodgers are 197-30 (.868) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Dodgers are 49-17 (.742) after a loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.

The Dodgers are 22-8 (.733) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Dodgers are 97-10 (.907) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Twins are just 14-28 (.333) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Twins were 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Twins were 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Twins are 73-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,396 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Dodgers have scored 1.62 runs per game (547/338) in late innings since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.32.

The Dodgers have scored 547 runs in late innings since the 2022 season — most in MLB.

Dodgers hitters have grounded into 21 double plays in 389 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

The Twins are batting just .130 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .223.

The Twins are batting just .142 at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.

The Twins are hitless in 14 AB’s against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Twins are batting just .148 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Dodgers pitchers have walked 496 of 6,543 batters (8%) since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers have walked 106 of 1,535 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Twins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.