Dodgers vs Twins Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 8

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Minnesota Twins' Byron Buxton doubles during the eighth inning of a baseball game against the St. Louis Cardinals Tuesday, Aug. 1, 2023, in St. Louis.
(AP Photo/Jeff Roberson)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 08, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Dodgers are -145 favorites vs the Twins
  • Dodgers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Dodgers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | SNLA

The Los Angeles Dodgers (-135) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+115) on Monday, April 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.

This season, the Dodgers are 8-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-4 ATS.

Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Dodgers starting pitcher: James Paxton 1-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Twins starting pitcher: Bailey Ober 0-1, 54.05 ERA

Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Dodgers-1.5 +120O 8.5 -110-135
Twins +1.5 -145U 8.5 -110+115

Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+13.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+13.25 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+11.30 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.90 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.10 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+11.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Matt Wallner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+10.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 19 games at home (+9.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 80 away games (+20.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.69 Units / -20.21% ROI).

  • 8-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 3.75% ROI
  • 8-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.82 Units / 36.71% ROI
  • 3-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -43.01% ROI

Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-4 against the Run Line (+0.25 Units / 3.57% ROI).

  • 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -27.62% ROI
  • 2-5 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -45.06% ROI
  • 5-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +3 Units / 40.82% ROI

Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ohtani 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Muncy 0.5 +350 0.5 -450
Hernandez 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Freeman 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Smith 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Paxton 5.5 +105 5.5 -140
Ober 5.5 +115 5.5 -150

James Paxton has walked 5 of 23 batters (22%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.

James Paxton allowed a slugging percentage of .696 (32 Total Bases / 46 ABs) on low fastballs in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .430 — third Percentile.

James Paxton has thrown elevated pitches 63% of the time (17/27) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

James Paxton has thrown fastballs 70% of the time (68/97) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.

Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 79% of the time (856/1,089) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober threw fastballs up 87% of the time (311/356) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 55% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober has thrown fastballs up 78% of the time (1,172/1,508) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Bailey Ober threw his changeup 25% of the time (147/580) on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% — 97th Percentile.

Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins

The Dodgers are 195-30 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

The Dodgers are 22-8 (.733) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .509.

The Dodgers are 43-16 (.729) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .456.

Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers

The Twins are just 14-27 (.341) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .497.

The Twins were 33-11 (.750) when they scored in the first inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .612.

The Twins are 34-12 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Twins are 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,326 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (13,047 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .770 (3,985 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.

Dodgers hitters are slugging .448 since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

Twins hitters have 1,333 strikeouts in 4,929 PA’s (27%) against RHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Twins are batting just .148 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.

Twins hitters have an OPS of just .566 (219 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .700.

The Twins are batting just .191 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Twins pitchers walked 443 of 6,028 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Twins pitchers walked 99 of 1,456 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Twins pitchers have a strikeout rate of 40% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Twins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
  • Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
  • Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
  • Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
  • Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
  • Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
  • Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
  • Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
  • David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
  • Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
  • Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
  • Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.