- The Dodgers are -185 favorites vs the Twins
- Dodgers vs Twins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Twins TV Channel: BSNO | SNLA
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-185) visit Target Field to take on the Minnesota Twins (+150) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Minneapolis, MN.
This season, the Dodgers are 9-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Twins are 3-5 ATS.
Dodgers vs Twins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Tyler Glasnow 2-0, 3.18 ERA
- Twins starting pitcher: Louie Varland 0-1, 6.76 ERA
Dodgers vs. Twins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -115 | O 8.5 -115 | -185 |
| Twins | +1.5 -105 | U 8.5 -105 | +150 |
Dodgers vs Twins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+15.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+12.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Max Muncy has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+10.30 Units / 79% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+9.85 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Twins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Twins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+8.15 Units / 37% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kyle Farmer has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 23 games at home (+7.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 139 games (+23.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 49 of their last 79 away games (+19.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 80 games (+11.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.34 Units / 88% ROI)
Twins Best Bets Today:
- The Minnesota Twins have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games (+14.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+13.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Team Total Over in 48 of their last 77 games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.65 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Minnesota Twins have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+2.85 Units / 4% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 6-7 against the Run Line (-1.54 Units / -10.76% ROI).
- 9-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.85 Units / 7.7% ROI
- 8-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.62 Units / 25.26% ROI
- 4-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -33.06% ROI
Twins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Twins are 3-5 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -13.17% ROI).
- 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.5 Units / -34.83% ROI
- 2-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.85 Units / -52.15% ROI
- 6-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +4 Units / 47.9% ROI
Twins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ohtani | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Muncy | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Hernandez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Smith | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lux | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -1400 |
Twins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Varland | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
| Glasnow | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -155 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Glasnow has a strike rate of 83% (29/35) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 62% (10/16) against Tyler Glasnow with runners in scoring position this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters had a miss rate of 38% (64/168) against Tyler Glasnow when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .102 (30-for-293) against Tyler Glasnow with two-strikes since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: .174 — 100th Percentile.
Twins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 19% (37/194) versus Louie Varland in the 2023 season — 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Louie Varland threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 73% (151/206) of opposing batters in the 2023 season — tied for 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (13/21) against Louie Varland in late innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Hitters swung at 54% of Louie Varland’s pitches (587/1,091) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Twins
The Dodgers are 196-30 (.867) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
The Dodgers are 44-16 (.733) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .455.
The Dodgers are 54-30 (.643) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Dodgers were 87-10 (.897) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Twins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Twins are 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Twins were 16-50 (.242) when trailing entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Twins are 34-12 (.739) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .615.
The Twins are 73-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .792 (9,355 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .717.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .338 (13,086 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Dodgers hitters had 165 extra-base hits out of 385 total hits (43%) against LHP in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
The Dodgers have a winning percentage of 63% on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Twins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Twins are batting just .122 with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Twins hitters struck out 1,274 times in 4,710 PA’s (27%) against RHP in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Twins are batting just .134 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .223.
Twins hitters have an OPS of just .542 (228 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed the 30th hardest ball in play hit (121.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 33% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Twins Pitching Stats & Trends
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 47% with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Twins pitchers have walked 21 of 290 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Twins pitchers had a strikeout rate of 26% in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Twins pitchers have walked 103 of 1,526 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Twins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Zack Weiss (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Jhoan Duran (Minnesota Twins): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Anthony DeSclafani (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Matt Canterino (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Trevor Larnach (Minnesota Twins): Toe, 7-Day IL
- Royce Lewis (Minnesota Twins): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Max Kepler (Minnesota Twins): Leg, Day-To-Day
- Jovani Moran (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Staumont (Minnesota Twins): Calf, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Thielbar (Minnesota Twins): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Justin Topa (Minnesota Twins): Kneecap, 15-Day IL
- Jose De Leon (Minnesota Twins): Elbow, Out
- Josh Winder (Minnesota Twins): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
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