- The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Guardians Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Giants / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSBA | ESPN+
The San Francisco Giants (+105) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-125) on Saturday, July 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Giants are 44-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 47-39 ATS.
Giants vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 4-3, 3.98 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 5.47 ERA
Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -185 | O 8.5 -110 | +105 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | U 8.5 -110 | -125 |
Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+11.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+10.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 33 of their last 57 games (+6.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 49 games (+6.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 86 games (+16.45 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+15.77 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 72 games (+14.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 86 games (+13.30 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+11.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 44-45 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -4.19% ROI).
- 44-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -4.37% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 6.74% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.15 Units / -15.37% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-39 against the Run Line (+13.3 Units / 12.79% ROI).
- 54-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.77 Units / 13.88% ROI
- 42-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 38-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -8.51% ROI
Guardians vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Guardians vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Guardians vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Guardians vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Harrison (SF) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 23% (103/457) against Kyle Harrison this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (248/363) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (179/363) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Kyle Harrison has allowed a slugging percentage of .333 (49 Total Bases / 147 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 11th Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .557 (44 Total Bases / 79 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 0 Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .638 (83 Total Bases / 130 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .397 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .563 (152 Total Bases / 270 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .396 — first Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .584 (122 Total Bases / 209 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 34 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are 53-8 (.869) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Giants are 166-6 (.965) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Giants are just 53-73 (.421) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .476.
The Giants are 7-4 (.636) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 28-11 (.718) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Guardians are 31-28 (.525) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
The Guardians are 47-51 (.480) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .488 (5,088 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Giants hitters have drawn 223 walks in 2,237 PA’s (10%) when leading off an inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .183 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Giants are batting just .160 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,007 strikeouts in 11,016 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 222 of 3,667 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .201 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (65/86) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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