- The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Guardians Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Giants / Guardians TV Channel: BSGL | NSBA | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (+115) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-135) on Sunday, July 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Cleveland, OH.
This season, the Giants are 44-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 47-40 ATS.
Giants vs Guardians Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Hayden Birdsong 1-0, 4.83 ERA
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 3-6, 5.24 ERA
Giants vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -120 | +115 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +145 | U 9 +100 | -135 |
Giants vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 34 games (+33.00 Units / 97% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+13.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 43 games (+9.55 Units / 18% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 31 of their last 49 games (+12.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 50 games (+9.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 58 games (+8.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 50 games (+5.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.40 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 87 games (+17.60 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 87 games (+16.77 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 73 games (+16.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 87 games (+12.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 35 games at home (+12.20 Units / 30% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 45-45 against the Run Line (-3.95 Units / -3.3% ROI).
- 44-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -5.26% ROI
- 49-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 7.67% ROI
- 38-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.2 Units / -16.27% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-40 against the Run Line (+12.3 Units / 11.71% ROI).
- 55-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.77 Units / 14.59% ROI
- 43-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 38-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -9.52% ROI
Guardians vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Guardians vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Guardians vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Guardians vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Hayden Birdsong (SF) | 3.5 -165 | 3.5 +130 |
| Carlos Carrasco (CLE) | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +115 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hayden Birdsong has limited playing time.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .392 (67-for-171) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .261 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed an OPS of .935 (485 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .359 (97-for-270) against Carlos Carrasco’s fastball since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 99 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .604 (96 Total Bases / 159 ABs) on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 164 total IP; League Avg: .381 — 0 Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Giants are just 28-32 (.467) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Giants are 9-111 (.075) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Giants are just 25-44 (.362) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .471.
The Giants are just 9-13 (.409) after a road loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
The Guardians are 29-11 (.725) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Guardians are 12-3 (.800) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Guardians are 25-148 (.145) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .095.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have drawn 225 walks in 2,246 PA’s (10%) when leading off an inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Giants have answered-back in 39% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Giants hitters are slugging just .385 since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,010 strikeouts in 11,029 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians are batting just .281 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 134 of 2,236 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .199 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (66/87) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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