- The Giants are -135 favorites vs the Padres
- Giants vs Padres Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Giants / Padres TV Channel: NSBA | PDTV | MLBN
The San Francisco Giants (-135) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+110) on Tuesday, April 29, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA, CA.
This season, the Giants are 19-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 15-13 ATS.
Giants vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 3-1, 2.02 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 4-1, 1.20 ERA
Giants vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | -1.5 +145 | O 6.5 +100 | -135 |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | U 6.5 -120 | +110 |
Giants vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 9 away games (+11.00 Units / 122% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Heliot Ramos has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 away games (+9.85 Units / 64% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Matt Chapman has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.05 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 53% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.95 Units / 29% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 27 games (+7.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 away games (+6.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.25 Units / 28% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+9.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 70% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 14-15 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 3.02% ROI).
- 19-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.45 Units / 20.61% ROI
- 16-12 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 9% ROI
- 12-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -17.88% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 15-13 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.41% ROI).
- 17-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.4 Units / 14.9% ROI
- 10-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.25 Units / -27.27% ROI
- 17-10 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.7 Units / 18.07% ROI
Padres vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Padres vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (SD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Padres vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Padres vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (SD) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Logan Webb (SF) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 52% with two strikes this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs– 88th Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 39% with two strikes last season — ninth lowest among qualified SPs– 17th Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 33% vs right-handed batters this season — eighth highest among qualified SPs– 92nd Percentile. He had a strikeout rate of just 18% vs right-handed batters last season — eighth lowest among qualified SPs– 13th Percentile.
Logan Webb has a strikeout rate of 61% (17 SO in 28 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 57% (351/617) against Logan Webb in the 2024 season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed batters are hitting just .078 (4-for-51) against Nick Pivetta this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .240 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .143 (56 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .207 (111 PA’s) this season — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .298 — 100th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of just .098 (5 Total Bases / 51 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Giants are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Giants are 3-8 (.273) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .083.
The Giants are 8-2 (.800) after a loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Giants are 10-6 (.625) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Padres are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .041.
The Padres were 66-8 (.892) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Padres are 138-21 (.868) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Padres are 27-24 (.529) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since last season They play the Giants (16th best runs allowed) today.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Giants batted just .151 with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .172.
Giants hitters have struck out in 25% of it’s PA’s against LHP since the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have struck out in just 17% of it’s PA’s against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres batted .275 on the road in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of it’s PA’s against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters struck out just 278 times in 1,617 PA’s (17%) against LHP in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.2 MPH since the 2023 season (8,529 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2024 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Padres have allowed 0.50 runs per game (14/28) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
The Padres have allowed 1.75 runs per game (28/16) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.04.
More MLB Reading:
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