- The Phillies are -145 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Giants / Phillies TV Channel: NSBA | NSPA
The San Francisco Giants (+120) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-145) on Wednesday, April 16, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Giants are 12-5 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 10-7 ATS.
Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Robbie Ray 3-0, 2.94 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola 0-3, 5.52 ERA
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -175 | O 7.5 -105 | +120 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | U 7.5 -115 | -145 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Wilmer Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 away games (+20.80 Units / 208% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+13.50 Units / 169% ROI)
- Aaron Nola has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.35 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in his last 6 games at home (+7.05 Units / 114% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 60% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 81 away games (+15.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 81 away games (+10.88 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 81 away games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 away games (+6.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 73 of their last 162 games (+4.97 Units / 2% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 80 games at home (+17.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 80 games at home (+11.23 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 80 games at home (+8.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 80 games at home (+3.30 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 80 games at home (+1.35 Units / 2% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 11-6 against the Run Line (+6.15 Units / 26.17% ROI).
- 12-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.65 Units / 33% ROI
- 12-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.5 Units / 35.14% ROI
- 5-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.4 Units / -44.44% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 10-7 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 4.02% ROI).
- 10-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.05 Units / 7.79% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.1 Units / -32.45% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.5 Units / 24.19% ROI
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Willy Adames (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -220 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Robbie Ray (SF) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .091 (2-for-22) against Robbie Ray when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .234 — 95th Percentile.
Robbie Ray has walked 9 of 42 batters (21%) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Robbie Ray has walked 5 of 27 batters (18%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Robbie Ray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .136 (3 Total Bases / 22 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: .386 — 95th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 71% (17/24) against Aaron Nola this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .297 (11-for-37) against Aaron Nola with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .154 — second Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (430/1,247) when he’s behind in the count since the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 95th Percentile.
Aaron Nola threw his curveball 36% of the time (205/565) when behind in the count in 2023 — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 1-5 (.167) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Giants are 2-4 (.333) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Giants are 8-3 (.727) on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .394.
The Giants are 12-5 (.706) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 3-5 (.375) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .117.
The Phillies are 12-126 (.087) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .026.
The Phillies were 54-27 (.667) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters slugged just .376 against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Giants hitters have 41 extra-base hits out of 79 total hits (52%) in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Giants hitters have 62 extra-base hits out of 130 total hits (48%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Giants hitters had an OPS of just .683 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have drawn 53 walks in 425 PA’s (12%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .341 (2,134 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Games involving the Phillies went OVER in 73% of their games (49.9% ROI) when underdogs since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Phillies are batting .302 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in 2023 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers in the 2024 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have picked-off 5 runners from first base this season — best in MLB.
Phillies pitchers have walked 962 of 12,758 batters (7%) since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 48% with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 492 of 6,683 batters (7%) since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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