- The Phillies are -190 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Giants / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Saturday, May 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Giants are 15-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 16-17 ATS.
Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 3-3, 3.21 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 5-0, 1.36 ERA
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -135 | O 7.5 -115 | +155 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +110 | U 7.5 -105 | -190 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Michael Conforto has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 away games (+16.40 Units / 102% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Nick Ahmed has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games (+17.25 Units / 59% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 32 games (+15.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 30 games (+14.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 32 games (+13.90 Units / 34% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.95 Units / 39% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-17 against the Run Line (-2.2 Units / -4.93% ROI).
- 15-18 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -17.48% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.55 Units / -12.66% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.68% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 16-17 against the Run Line (-1.15 Units / -2.83% ROI).
- 22-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.9 Units / 12.65% ROI
- 14-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -13.02% ROI
- 17-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 3.7% ROI
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jung-hoo Lee (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Wilmer Flores (SF) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (54/89) against Keaton Winn this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .111 (6-for-54) against Keaton Winn this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 70% (26/37) against Keaton Winn in two-strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (54/89) against Keaton Winn this season — 3rd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 45% — 95th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.2 MPH this season (79 balls in play) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a groundball rate of 62% (61/98) against Ranger Suarez this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 81.2 MPH (79 batted balls) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.9 — 98th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has walked 5 of 144 batters (4%) this season — 2nd best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 8% — 97th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are 144-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Giants are 79-1 (.988) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Giants are 45-7 (.865) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Giants are 12-9 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 11-134 (.076) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Phillies are 37-25 (.597) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .526.
The Phillies are 118-79 (.599) after a win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Phillies are 60-38 (.612) at home since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .517.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .398 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants hitters have an OPS of just .474 (3,934 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .499 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .333 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Phillies hitters are slugging .438 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Phillies hitters have an OPS of .558 (656 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .140 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH since last season (4,786 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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