- The Phillies are -210 favorites vs the Giants
- Giants vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Giants / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | NSBA
The San Francisco Giants (+170) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-210) on Monday, May 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Giants are 15-20 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 18-17 ATS.
Giants vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Giants starting pitcher: Mason Black 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zack Wheeler 3-3, 1.90 ERA
Giants vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Giants | +1.5 -120 | O 7.5 -110 | +170 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +100 | U 7.5 -110 | -210 |
Giants vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+13.50 Units / 193% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 67% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.40 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games (+17.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.65 Units / 56% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 32 games (+12.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 28% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 118 games (+13.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 70 games (+11.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.78 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.18 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.21 Units / 41% ROI)
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-19 against the Run Line (-4.7 Units / -9.98% ROI).
- 15-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.3 Units / -21.48% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -6.68% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -2.06% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 18-17 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 2.65% ROI).
- 24-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.9 Units / 15.52% ROI
- 16-17 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -7.04% ROI
- 17-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -2.07% ROI
Phillies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (SF) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Phillies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Marsh (PHI) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Phillies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Phillies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler (PHI) | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -135 |
| Mason Black (SF) | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -155 |
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .061 (6-for-99) against Zack Wheeler with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,095/2,585) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (666/1,567) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (331/748) when behind in the count since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Giants are just 21-27 (.438) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Giants are 29-14 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Giants are just 37-65 (.363) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.
The Giants are 144-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Phillies are 80-46 (.635) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Phillies are 53-37 (.589) after a road win since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
The Phillies are 166-11 (.938) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Phillies are 114-83 (.579) since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
The Giants are batting just .242 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .402 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .232 (3,972 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .439 against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Phillies hitters have 588 strikeouts in 2,327 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies are batting .262 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Phillies hitters are slugging .499 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% against Giants pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .137 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Phillies pitchers since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
- Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
- Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
- Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
- Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
- Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL
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