Giants vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 12

min read
Tampa Bay Rays' Brandon Lowe runs the bases while scoring from first base on a two-run triple by Randy Arozarena off Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish in the third inning of a baseball game, Thursday, Sept. 14, 2023, in Baltimore. Rays' Yandy Diaz also scored on the triple.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 12, 2024, 12:44 PM
  • The Giants are -105 favorites vs the Rays
  • Giants vs Rays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Giants / Rays TV Channel: NSBA | BSUN

The San Francisco Giants (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Friday, April 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Giants are 5-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 6-7 ATS.

Giants vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Keaton Winn 0-2, 5.73 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Jacob Waguespack 0-0, 9.54 ERA

Giants vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 8.5 -115-105
Rays +1.5 -190U 8.5 -105-115

Giants vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.15 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Ben Rortvedt has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games at home (+11.15 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Amed Rosario has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games at home (+10.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.93 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 5-8 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -31.75% ROI).

  • 5-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -29.89% ROI
  • 8-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 19.64% ROI
  • 5-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -26.96% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 6-7 against the Run Line (+0.55 Units / 4% ROI).

  • 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.05 Units / -6.07% ROI
  • 7-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.2 Units / 1.4% ROI
  • 6-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.9 Units / -13.29% ROI

Rays vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +300 0.5 -375
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +360 0.5 -500
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900

Rays vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Thairo Estrada (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Curtis Mead (TB) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Rays vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +155 0.5 -200
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Rays vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Keaton Winn (SF) 5.5 +125 5.5 -165

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (5/38) against Keaton Winn this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 13% (5/38) against Keaton Winn this season — 3rd lowest among in NL; League Avg: 24% — sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (18/31) against Keaton Winn this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 96th Percentile.

Keaton Winn has a first-pitch strike rate of 71% (30/42) this season — 4th highest among in NL; League Avg: 63% — 94th Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jacob Waguespack has walked 5 of 25 right-handed batters (20%) this season — tied for 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — 11th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .346 (9-for-26) against Jacob Waguespack this season — 13th highest among in AL; League Avg: .221 — 12th Percentile.

Jacob Waguespack has allowed an OBP of .500 (34 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd highest among in AL; League Avg: .314 — sixth Percentile.

Jacob Waguespack has a strike rate of just 46% (16/35) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among in AL; League Avg: 62% — third Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Giants are 135-3 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants were 22-13 (.629) after a home loss in 2023 — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .508.

The Giants are just 33-62 (.347) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .457.

The Giants are 25-14 (.641) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rays are just 11-27 (.289) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.

The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays were 20-27 (.426) when allowing 10 or more hits in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .271.

The Rays were just 4-12 (.250) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

The Giants are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

The Giants are batting just .071 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .159.

The Giants are batting just .241 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.

Giants hitters had an OPS of just .475 (3,303 PA’s) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .523.

29% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.

Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rays hitters put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .283 in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .500 against Giants pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .240.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays pitchers have walked 874 of 12,426 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.