Giants vs Rays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 14

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Tampa Bay Rays' Randy Arozarena bats against the New York Yankees during a baseball game Saturday, May 6, 2023, in St. Petersburg, Fla.
(AP Photo/Chris O'Meara)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 14, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Giants are -125 favorites vs the Rays
  • Giants vs Rays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Giants / Rays TV Channel: NSB+ | BSUN | ESPN+

The San Francisco Giants (-120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Sunday, April 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.

This season, the Giants are 5-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 7-7 ATS.

Giants vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 0-1, 9.01 ERA
  • Rays starting pitcher: Shawn Armstrong 0-1, 5.69 ERA

Giants vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +145O 8 -105-120
Rays +1.5 -175U 8 -115+100

Giants vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Logan Webb has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 24 of his last 33 games (+15.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 17 away games (+14.75 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Blake Snell has hit the Earned Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+14.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Austin Slater has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 away games (+10.45 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Curtis Mead has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+11.60 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Curtis Mead has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+11.15 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.15 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+22.10 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.93 Units / 44% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+0.85 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 60 games at home (+17.15 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 games (+13.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 58 games (+10.19 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 57 games (+7.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 27 games (+5.26 Units / 16% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 5-9 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -35.36% ROI).

  • 5-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -34.05% ROI
  • 8-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.65 Units / 10.93% ROI
  • 6-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.95 Units / -18.73% ROI

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rays are 7-7 against the Run Line (+1.55 Units / 10.03% ROI).

  • 8-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.27% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -5.84% ROI
  • 7-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.9 Units / -5.84% ROI

Rays vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +650 0.5 -1100
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1200
Randy Arozarena (TB) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Rays vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jung-hoo Lee (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195
Harold Ramirez (TB) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Yandy Diaz (TB) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155

Rays vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jorge Soler (SF) 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Amed Rosario (TB) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Isaac Paredes (TB) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Rays vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell (SF) 7.5 +130 7.5 -175

Opponents batted just .102 (39-for-381) against Blake Snell with two-strikes in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .162 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 37% (507/1,359) against Blake Snell in the 2023 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents batted just .181 (115-for-636) against Blake Snell in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .239 — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell allowed three-ball counts to 32% of batters they faced (240/742 PA’s) in the 2023 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 19% — second Percentile.

Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Shawn Armstrong allowed an OBP of just .159 (69 PA’s) versus the top of the order in the 2023 season — best among in AL; League Avg: .333 — 100th Percentile.

Shawn Armstrong has a strike rate of 73% (463/637) in two strike counts since the 2022 season — 4th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 97th Percentile.

Shawn Armstrong allowed an OBP of just .246 (207 PA’s) in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd best among in AL; League Avg: .314 — 97th Percentile.

Shawn Armstrong has a strike rate of 69% (1,348/1,955) since the 2022 season — 6th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 97th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Giants were 66-1 (.985) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2023 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are 71-1 (.986) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

The Giants are 44-7 (.863) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .797.

The Giants are just 37-53 (.411) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rays were 16-6 (.727) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rays are just 5-14 (.263) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

The Rays are just 12-28 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Rays were 17-6 (.739) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are batting .291 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .240.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .681 (3,137 PA’s) at home since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Giants hitters had an OBP of just .307 (1,790 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.

Giants hitters struck out 453 times in 1,790 PA’s (25%) against LHP in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

30% of Rays hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Rays hitters have an OPS of .768 (5,238 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

Rays hitters had a groundball batting average of .311 with runners on base in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.

Rays hitters are slugging .504 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .452.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 443 of 6,581 batters (7%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Rays vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
  • Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
  • Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
  • Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
  • Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
  • Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
  • Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
  • Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.