Giants vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 7

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(AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM May 07, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Giants are -160 favorites vs the Rockies
  • Giants vs Rockies Over / Under today: 10.5 Runs
  • Giants / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | NSBA | MLBN

The San Francisco Giants (-160) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+135) on Tuesday, May 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Giants are 15-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 16-18 ATS.

Giants vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Kyle Harrison 2-1, 3.83 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Dakota Hudson 0-5, 5.94 ERA

Giants vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 -105O 10 -105-160
Rockies +1.5 -115U 10 -115+135

Giants vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 61.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jorge Soler has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Matt Chapman has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+13.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Thairo Estrada has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+12.50 Units / 156% ROI)
  • Jung Hoo Lee has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.05 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jacob Stallings has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+17.50 Units / 438% ROI)
  • Elehuris Montero has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+10.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+8.90 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Elias Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+8.70 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 73 of their last 115 games (+27.02 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 55 of their last 85 games (+22.17 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 54 of their last 85 games (+21.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.68 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 72 games (+11.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 63 games at home (+9.15 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 43 games (+4.30 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+0.27 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.20 Units / 3% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are 16-20 against the Run Line (-5.8 Units / -12.03% ROI).

  • 15-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.3 Units / -23.25% ROI
  • 16-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.55 Units / -9.06% ROI
  • 18-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.5% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 16-18 against the Run Line (-5.45 Units / -13.36% ROI).

  • 8-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.9 Units / -38.97% ROI
  • 15-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.6 Units / -12.71% ROI
  • 18-15 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.6 Units / 4.4% ROI

Rockies vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 +500 0.5 -750

Rockies vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brenton Doyle (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Elehuris Montero (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Charlie Blackmon (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +195

Rockies vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Michael Conforto (SF) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Wilmer Flores (SF) 0.5 +115 0.5 -150
Elias Diaz (COL) 0.5 +125 0.5 -165
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185

Rockies vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kyle Harrison (SF) 5.5 -105 5.5 -120
Dakota Hudson (COL) 3.5 +145 3.5 -190

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 52% of the time (95/183) with two-strikes this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has walked 2 of 63 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 4th best among in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .353 (18-for-51) against Kyle Harrison’s non-fastballs this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .217 — second Percentile.

Kyle Harrison has thrown elevated pitches 52% of the time (95/183) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .636 (14-for-22) against Dakota Hudson on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .329 — first Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strike rate of just 63% (660/1,054) when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.

Dakota Hudson has a strikeout rate of just 14% (29 SO in 212 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 77 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 19% (203/1,051) against Dakota Hudson since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 142 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 0 Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Giants are 144-3 (.980) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.

The Giants are just 40-61 (.396) on the road since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .481.

The Giants are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Giants are just 37-66 (.359) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .460.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Rockies are just 18-16 (.529) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .790.

The Rockies are just 51-15 (.773) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Rockies are just 47-23 (.671) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Rockies are just 41-27 (.603) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .795.

Giants hitters are slugging just .401 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Giants hitters have an OPS of just .470 (3,993 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .518.

Giants hitters are slugging just .374 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Giants are batting just .153 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .171.

The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 29% on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

The Rockies have won just 50% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.

The Rockies have won just 44% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.

The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.6 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 954 of 13,449 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
  • Alex Cobb (San Francisco Giants): Hip, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Waites (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Mike Yastrzemski (San Francisco Giants): Personal, Paternity
  • Tristan Beck (San Francisco Giants): Arm, 60-Day IL
  • Wade Meckler (San Francisco Giants): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
  • Robbie Ray (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Sean Hjelle (San Francisco Giants): Elbow, 15-Day IL
  • Luke Jackson (San Francisco Giants): Back, 15-Day IL
  • Wilmer Flores (San Francisco Giants): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
  • Thomas Szapucki (San Francisco Giants): Pectoral, 60-Day IL
  • Scott Alexander (San Francisco Giants): Ribs, 15-Day IL
  • Ethan Small (San Francisco Giants): Oblique, 60-Day IL

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.