- Guardians / Angels TV Channel: BSW | BSGL
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Tempe Diablo Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Angels (-130) on Thursday, February 29, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Tempe, AZ.
This season, the Guardians are 2-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Angels are 3-1 ATS.
Guardians vs. Angels Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +110 |
| Angels | -130 |
Guardians vs Angels Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Angels players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Angels Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.85 Units / 79% ROI)
- Michael Stefanic has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Livan Soto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.20 Units / 31% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Livan Soto has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+0.80 Units / 40% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Angels Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games (+13.19 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 games (+11.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.66 Units / 77% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Angels have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 37 games (+4.97 Units / 11% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 2-3 against the Run Line (-1 Units / -16.13% ROI).
- 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.4 Units / -23.73% ROI
- 4-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 49.56% ROI
- 1-4 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.35 Units / -62.62% ROI
Angels Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Angels are 3-1 against the Run Line (+1.6 Units / 28.07% ROI).
- 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 30.23% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
- 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .111 (3 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Gavin Williams with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 38% (19/50) versus Gavin Williams on elevated fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .165 (14 GB hits out of 85 GBs) against Gavin Williams in the 2023 season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .163 (21-for-129) against Gavin Williams’ curve and slider in the 2023 season — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 92nd Percentile.
Angels Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Patrick Sandoval walked 66 of 538 right-handed batters (12%) in the 2023 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Patrick Sandoval walked 74 of 652 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fifth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters had a line drive rate of 28% (101/361) against Patrick Sandoval in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of 30% (36/121) versus Patrick Sandoval with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fifth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Angels
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Angels Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Angels were just 29-23 (.558) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Angels are just 8-136 (.056) when trailing entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .093.
The Angels were just 61-7 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Angels are just 14-22 (.389) when tied entering the 7th inning since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Angels Hitting Stats & Trends
The Angels batted just .235 at home in the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .309 (2,984 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .324.
The Angels batted just .223 with two outs in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Angels hitters had an OBP of just .269 (485 PA’s) against pitchers who had thrown at least 80 pitches in a game in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Angels Pitching Stats & Trends
Angels pitchers walked 150 of 1,434 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Angels pitchers in the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Angels pitchers walked 636 of 6,305 batters (10%) in the 2023 season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Angels pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in 63% of their games at home in the 2023 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
Angels vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sam Bachman (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Austin Warren (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kyren Paris (Los Angeles Angels): Thumb, Out
- Aaron Loup (Los Angeles Angels): Shoulder, Out
- Jose Cisnero (Los Angeles Angels): Not Injury Related, Out
- Randal Grichuk (Los Angeles Angels): Ankle, Out
- Jose Quijada (Los Angeles Angels): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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