- The Astros are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Guardians / Astros TV Channel: BSGL | SCHN
The Cleveland Guardians (+125) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-150) on Tuesday, April 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Guardians are 19-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 10-18 ATS.
Guardians vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Carlos Carrasco 1-2, 4.63 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Hunter Brown 0-4, 9.87 ERA
Guardians vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -155 | O 9 -110 | +125 |
| Astros | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -110 | -150 |
Guardians vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games (+18.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+11.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.75 Units / 96% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+9.10 Units / 38% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games at home (+16.80 Units / 168% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 17 of his last 27 games (+14.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+7.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.65 Units / 53% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 76 of their last 135 games (+15.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 66 of their last 118 games (+7.21 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 19-9 against the Run Line (+10.95 Units / 30.37% ROI).
- 19-9 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.97 Units / 26.92% ROI
- 15-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.95 Units / 9.56% ROI
- 11-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.5 Units / -17.89% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 10-18 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -23.31% ROI).
- 9-19 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.25 Units / -40.29% ROI
- 8-18 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.4 Units / -37.56% ROI
- 18-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.15 Units / 29.23% ROI
Astros vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jose Abreu (HOU) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Astros vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Astros vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .483 (83-for-172) against Carlos Carrasco when he’s behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .337 — first Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .366 against Carlos Carrasco since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .259 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .399 (55-for-138) against Carlos Carrasco’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 0 Percentile.
Carlos Carrasco has allowed a slugging percentage of .655 (112 Total Bases / 171 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: .445 — 0 Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hunter Brown has an ERA of 9.68 (17.2 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 3.92 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .395 (32-for-81) against Hunter Brown this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .242 — first Percentile.
Hunter Brown has allowed an OBP of .600 (35 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: .321 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (175/291) against Hunter Brown’s curve and slider since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Guardians are 35-121 (.224) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are just 8-16 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 8-78 (.093) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Astros are 63-43 (.594) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Astros are just 10-15 (.400) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 98-25 (.797) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .698.
The Astros are just 7-12 (.368) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put 45% of balls in play to the right side of the field this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,471 strikeouts in 13,332 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .363 against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 702 strikeouts in 3,988 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .460 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Astros are batting .287 at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .927 (564 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .687.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.61 runs per game (17/28) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have an ERA of 2.68 (144.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.94.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 59% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Astros pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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