Guardians vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar 30

min read
(AP Photo/Godofredo A. Vásquez)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Mar 30, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Guardians are -135 favorites vs the Athletics
  • Guardians / Athletics TV Channel: BSGL | NSCA

The Cleveland Guardians () visit Oakland-Alameda County Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics () on Saturday, March 30, 2024. First pitch is for this MLB matchup is scheduled for 4:07pm EDT in Oakland, CA.

This season, the Guardians are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 0-2 ATS.

Guardians vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Guardians O
Athletics U

Guardians vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s game with 59.0% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.80 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+10.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Estevan Florial has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 13 away games (+9.35 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kole Calhoun has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.75 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.10 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • JJ Bleday has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.35 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 86 of their last 148 games (+15.73 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.14 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 84 games (+9.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 53 games at home (+5.20 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.55 Units / 127.5% ROI).

  • 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 72.73% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 97.56% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Athletics are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -100% ROI).

  • 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • 2-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 97.56% ROI
  • 0-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI

Tanner Bibee allowed a slugging percentage of just .270 (66 Total Bases / 244 ABs) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .426 — 99th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee allowed an OPS of just .542 (270 PA’s) vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .746 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (25/103) against Tanner Bibee on sliders in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 98th Percentile.

Tanner Bibee has an average spin rate of 2790.6 RPM on sliders since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 2397.6 — 99th Percentile.

Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 30% (153/505) against JP Sears in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 23% (38/164) against JP Sears on sliders in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (30/94) against JP Sears on low breaking pitches since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 50% — 0 Percentile.

JP Sears allowed a slugging percentage of .465 (308 Total Bases / 662 ABs) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 11th Percentile.

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in 2023 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Guardians were just 12-24 (.333) after a win as underdogs in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .430.

Athletics Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Athletics are just 4-8 (.333) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.

The Athletics are just 87-62 (.584) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.

The Athletics were just 15-55 (.214) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Athletics were just 29-82 (.261) after a loss in 2023 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Guardians hitters have just 1,586 strikeouts in 8,772 PA’s (18%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters have missed on just 22% of swings since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters have just 2,269 strikeouts in 12,285 PA’s (18%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .289 (11,852 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Athletics batted just .200 with two outs in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.

The Athletics are batting just .219 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Athletics hitters have an OBP of just .288 (8,669 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .241 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .253.

Athletics pitchers had an ERA of 6.09 (676.2 IP) on the road in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 38% against Athletics pitchers in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Athletics pitchers have allowed a run 39% of the time after scoring a run on offense since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Athletics pitchers walked 694 of 6,384 batters (11%) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Athletics vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Ken Waldichuk (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Freddy Tarnok (Oakland Athletics): Hip, Out
  • James Kaprielian (Oakland Athletics): Shoulder, Out
  • Drew Rucinski (Oakland Athletics): Back, Out
  • Zach Jackson (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Sean Newcomb (Oakland Athletics): Knee, Out
  • Angel Felipe (Oakland Athletics): Elbow, Out
  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
  • Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out

Bet now on Guardians vs Athletics and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.