- The Guardians are -102 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Guardians vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | GDTV
The Cleveland Guardians (-102) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-118) on Sunday, May 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Guardians are 19-14 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 20-13 ATS.
Guardians vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 2-2, 4.46 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 2-4, 5.40 ERA
Guardians vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -105 | -102 |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -115 | -118 |
Guardians vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 away games (+24.00 Units / 300% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+13.15 Units / 52% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+12.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.95 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+14.30 Units / 57% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+14.25 Units / 63% ROI)
- Alejandro Kirk has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.15 Units / 33% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Addison Barger has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 24 games (+9.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 games (+6.85 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 38% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.97 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 32 games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games at home (+3.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 17-16 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -5.75% ROI).
- 19-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +6 Units / 15.46% ROI
- 16-15 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.15 Units / -0.42% ROI
- 15-16 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.4 Units / -6.58% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 20-13 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- 16-17 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -2.12% ROI
- 13-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.55 Units / -23.84% ROI
- 20-13 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.72 Units / 15.55% ROI
Blue Jays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (TOR) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of 1.337 (50 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .724 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 35% (167/473) against Tanner Bibee in the 2024 season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (22/92) against Tanner Bibee with two-strikes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has walked 15% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — seventh Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of .756 (34 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .364 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.222 (22 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when behind in the count this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .574 — second Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of 1.179 (52 PA’s) on non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 12 total IP; League Avg: .638 — 0 Percentile.
Bowden Francis allowed a BABIP of .212 in the 2024 season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Guardians are 86-3 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians were 54-38 (.587) after a win in the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Guardians were 25-2 (.926) when they had 5 or more XBH in the 2024 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .809.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Blue Jays are just 9-3 (.750) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Blue Jays were just 17-75 (.185) when they scored 4 or fewer runs in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .276.
The Blue Jays were just 4-74 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Blue Jays were just 6-73 (.076) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have struck out in 50% of it’s PA’s against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
The Blue Jays are batting just .183 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .335.
The Blue Jays are batting just .297 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .467 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .562.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .303 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .045 against Blue Jays pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.
Blue Jays pitchers had a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes in 2023 — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers in the 2024 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Guardians vs Blue Jays and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
