- The Braves are -210 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Braves TV Channel: BSGL | BSSO
The Cleveland Guardians (+180) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Friday, April 26, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Guardians are 18-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 12-11 ATS.
Guardians vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 1.18 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 2-1, 4.44 ERA
Guardians vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | +180 |
| Braves | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | -225 |
Guardians vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Friday‘s MLB game with 67.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Will Brennan has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+20.00 Units / 500% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 games (+12.40 Units / 52% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 95% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Bo Naylor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 6 away games (+6.95 Units / 96% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+14.20 Units / 355% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+13.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+12.20 Units / 53% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 12 games at home (+12.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 78 of their last 138 games (+15.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.72 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 44 away games (+5.36 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 44 away games (+5.35 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 17-8 against the Run Line (+9.95 Units / 30.9% ROI).
- 18-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.52 Units / 30.91% ROI
- 15-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.3 Units / 22.91% ROI
- 8-15 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.5 Units / -30.91% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 12-11 against the Run Line (+1.15 Units / 4.34% ROI).
- 17-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.15 Units / 14.04% ROI
- 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.4% ROI
- 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -8.09% ROI
Braves vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Braves vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Braves vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (31 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .372 — second Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .738 (31 Total Bases / 42 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — third Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .750 (18 Total Bases / 24 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 0 Percentile.
Logan Allen has a strikeout rate of just 34% (21 SO in 62 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 4th lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
4 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 96th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strike rate of 71% (263/370) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 98th Percentile.
4 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among in MLB; League Avg: nan — 94th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strike rate of 73% (91/125) in two strike counts this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Guardians are 35-120 (.226) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .132.
The Guardians are just 9-16 (.360) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 12-67 (.152) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Guardians are 24-127 (.159) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Braves are 49-44 (.527) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .303.
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Braves are 19-9 (.679) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Braves are 16-53 (.232) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,722 strikeouts in 9,477 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have just 927 strikeouts in 4,893 PA’s (19%) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,448 strikeouts in 13,216 PA’s (18%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .470 against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters are slugging .492 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .497 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .837 (5,438 PA’s) against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 30% against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.8 MPH (523 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.8 MPH this season (523 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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