Guardians vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Feb 25

MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
(AP Photo)
  • Guardians / Mariners TV Channel: RTNW | MLBN

The Cleveland Guardians (+105) visit Peoria Sports Complex to take on the Seattle Mariners (-125) on Sunday, February 25, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 3:10pm EST in Peoria, AZ.

Last season, the Guardians were 76-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners were 76-86 ATS.

Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Moneyline
Guardians+105
Mariners -125

Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.1% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Guardians vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
  • David Fry has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in his last 5 games (+5.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Sam Haggerty has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+3.45 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.35 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Cooper Hummel has hit the Singles Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 46 of their last 78 games at home (+8.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)

Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Guardians went 80-82 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -2.95% ROI).

  • 76-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.2 Units / -10.57% ROI
  • 67-91 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.95 Units / -18.94% ROI
  • 91-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +18 Units / 10.14% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread last MLB season, the Mariners went 76-86 against the Run Line (-15.6 Units / -7.56% ROI).

  • 88-74 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -3.21% ROI
  • 80-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.4 Units / -1.34% ROI
  • 75-80 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.35 Units / -6.96% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

No Matchup notes for this Game

Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.

The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians

The Mariners were 13-8 (.619) after a win as underdogs in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .433.

The Mariners are 44-6 (.880) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Mariners were 64-13 (.831) when they scored 5 or more runs in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .780.

The Mariners were 76-2 (.974) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .948.

Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.

Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.

Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.

The Mariners batted just .125 on pitches out of the zone in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters put just 33% of their swings in play with two-strikes in the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

Mariners hitters struck out 1,603 times in 6,201 PA’s (26%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.

The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).

Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.

Mariners pitchers walked 421 of 6,006 batters (7%) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents had a swing rate of 50% against the Mariners pitchers in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Mariners pitchers had a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 3.42 (744.0 IP) at home in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.

Mariners vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Mitch Haniger (Seattle Mariners): Back, Out
  • Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, Out
  • Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, Out
  • Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Arm, Out
  • Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
  • Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
  • James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out

Bet now on Guardians vs Mariners and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

About the Author

BetMGM

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.

Our BetMGM editors and authors are sports experts with a wealth of knowledge of the sports industry at all levels. Their coverage includes sports news, previews and predictions, fun facts, and betting.