- The Mariners are -135 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Guardians / Mariners TV Channel: GDTV | RTNW
The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-135) on Saturday, June 14, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Guardians are 35-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-38 ATS.
Guardians vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 4-6, 3.86 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 1-3, 6.54 ERA
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -210 | O 7 -120 | +115 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +170 | U 7 +100 | -135 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bo Naylor has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+10.40 Units / 260% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 69% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 35% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.80 Units / 197% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+12.90 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 45% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+9.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+9.00 Units / 34% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 games (+6.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 65 games (+6.24 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 59 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.55 Units / 13% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 25 games at home (+10.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.45 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 62 games (+5.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games at home (+2.35 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games at home (+2.30 Units / 6% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 35-33 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -3.46% ROI).
- 35-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.45 Units / 3.11% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -7.12% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 30-38 against the Run Line (-8.75 Units / -10.36% ROI).
- 34-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -10.05% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 5.57% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.82 Units / -14.38% ROI
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Angel Martínez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| George Kirby (SEA) | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .056 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — 100th Percentile.
60% of Tanner Bibee’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone since last season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 93rd Percentile.
68% of Tanner Bibee’s strikeouts are on pitches in the zone this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed 6 home runs on the first pitch of at-bats this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
George Kirby walked 3% of batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 2% of right-handed batters in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby walked 7 of 297 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game in the 2024 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
George Kirby has walked 3% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians are 99-3 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians are 106-2 (.981) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Guardians are 28-1 (.966) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .864.
The Guardians are 177-3 (.983) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners were just 7-13 (.350) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mariners were just 66-16 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Mariners are 178-4 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 101-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .295 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 64% with two-strikes since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .237 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers walked 369 of 5,801 batters (6%) in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers walked 76 of 1,441 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .266 (2,056 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
More MLB Reading:
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