- The Guardians are -102 favorites vs the Mariners
- Guardians vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Mariners TV Channel: GDTV | RTNW | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Sunday, June 15, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Guardians are 35-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 30-39 ATS.
Guardians vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Luis Ortiz 3-7, 4.27 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Emerson Hancock 2-2, 5.11 ERA
Guardians vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +170 | O 8 -118 | +100 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -210 | U 8 -102 | -120 |
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Angel Martinez has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 away games (+13.00 Units / 186% ROI)
- Angel Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+9.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- Carlos Santana has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+8.00 Units / 70% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games (+12.80 Units / 160% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 66 games (+7.24 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 games (+6.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.00 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 60 games (+4.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 36 of their last 63 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 29 games at home (+2.30 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 25 games at home (+1.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 36-33 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -2.35% ROI).
- 35-34 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 1.82% ROI
- 31-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -7.03% ROI
- 34-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 30-39 against the Run Line (-9.75 Units / -11.41% ROI).
- 35-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -8.81% ROI
- 36-29 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.15 Units / 5.5% ROI
- 29-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.82 Units / -14.16% ROI
Mariners vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -325 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Mariners vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| J.P. Crawford (SEA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
Mariners vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -235 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Carlos Santana (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Mariners vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Emerson Hancock (SEA) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +100 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (37/100) against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 98th Percentile.
Luis Ortiz has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (9 Total Bases / 36 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 10th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .381 — 85th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (57/98) against Luis Ortiz this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents batted just .161 (27-for-168) against Luis Ortiz versus the 2-3-4 hitters in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 98th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 11% (3/27) against Emerson Hancock’s elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .436 (17-for-39) against Emerson Hancock’s fastballs away this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Emerson Hancock has allowed an OPS of 1.082 (89 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .756 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (53/151) against Emerson Hancock in two-strike counts since last season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 44% — sixth Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Guardians were 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 106-3 (.972) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Guardians are 99-4 (.961) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Guardians were 82-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Mariners are 4-28 (.125) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .044.
The Mariners are 29-129 (.184) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .140.
The Mariners are 101-2 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 26-1 (.963) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .904.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
The Guardians are batting just .295 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had an OPS of just .662 (1,910 PA’s) against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .742.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .228 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.
The Mariners are batting just .215 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Guardians allowed 0.87 runs per game (140/161) in late innings in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in 2023 — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .266 (2,065 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Mariners pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers had an ERA of 2.83 (739.0 IP) at home in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Mariners pitchers allowed an OBP of just .251 (1,441 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .305.
More MLB Reading:
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