- Guardians / Rangers TV Channel: TX21
The Cleveland Guardians (+145) visit Surprise Stadium to take on the Texas Rangers (-175) on Tuesday, March 12, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Surprise, AZ.
This season, the Guardians are 4-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 9-8 ATS.
Guardians vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +145 |
| Rangers | -175 |
Guardians vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.7% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Josh Naylor has hit the Hits Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jose Tena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- David Fry has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Under in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Evan Carter has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Josh Jung has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 146 games (+21.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 60 away games (+6.30 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 34 games (+4.72 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 39 away games (+2.24 Units / 5% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 96 of their last 171 games (+28.43 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 97 of their last 171 games (+26.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 102 of their last 171 games (+24.63 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 81 games at home (+18.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 49 of their last 81 games at home (+14.68 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Guardians are 5-7 against the Run Line (-2.98 Units / -18.49% ROI).
- 4-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.64 Units / -32.29% ROI
- 5-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.52 Units / -11.76% ROI
- 6-5 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.32 Units / 2.37% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this Spring Training, the Rangers are 9-8 against the Run Line (+0.71 Units / 3.15% ROI).
- 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.24 Units / 1.18% ROI
- 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.47 Units / -13.33% ROI
- 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.56 Units / 8.25% ROI
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber located his fastball away 64% of the time (436/686) in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 71% of his pitches away (688/967) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 62% (80/128) against Shane Bieber on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — first Percentile.
Shane Bieber located 59% of his pitches away (1,159/1,954) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to August 29th — Collin McHugh has the longest active streak at 9.
Andrew Heaney spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 54% (293/543) of the time in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Opponents batted just .169 (14-for-83) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball in the 2023 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .266 — 99th Percentile.
Andrew Heaney threw fastballs up 63% of the time (948/1,506) in the 2023 season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Guardians are 34-114 (.230) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .129.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians were 18-57 (.240) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .141.
The Guardians were just 5-15 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rangers were 32-13 (.711) after a home win in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Rangers were 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Rangers are just 2-139 (.014) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Rangers were just 2-52 (.037) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters slugged just .367 against LHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters had an OBP of .349 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .324.
Rangers hitters slugged .495 at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rangers batted .263 in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers hitters had an OPS of .844 (3,096 PA’s) at home in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .746.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 41% against Guardians pitchers in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Guardians pitchers won only 19% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Guardians pitchers have allowed the 28th hardest ball in play hit (119.2 MPH) in the 2023 season (; League Avg: 117.2).
Guardians pitchers have allowed an exit velocity over 110 MPH 100 times since last season — tied for 2nd fewest in MLB.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of .278 against Rangers pitchers with runners on base in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Rangers won 54% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Rangers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, Out
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Calf, Out
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, Out
- Corey Seager (Texas Rangers): Groin, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gabriel Arias (Cleveland Guardians): Wrist, Out
- Logan Allen (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
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