- The Guardians are -105 favorites vs the Rays
- Guardians vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Rays TV Channel: BSGL | BSUN
The Cleveland Guardians (-105) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-115) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Guardians are 57-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 45-49 ATS.
Guardians vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-1, 4.83 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Zack Littell 3-6, 4.46 ERA
Guardians vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 7.5 +100 | -105 |
| Rays | +1.5 -190 | U 7.5 -120 | -115 |
Guardians vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ben Rortvedt has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+20.00 Units / 286% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+12.75 Units / 53% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.10 Units / 39% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 56 of their last 93 games (+15.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 93 games (+13.92 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games (+11.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 away games (+7.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games (+7.10 Units / 26% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 59 of their last 91 games (+24.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 85 games (+9.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 21% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-46 against the Run Line (+4.6 Units / 4.08% ROI).
- 57-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.92 Units / 11.37% ROI
- 47-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.85 Units / 2.77% ROI
- 40-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.55 Units / -11.35% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 45-49 against the Run Line (-7.15 Units / -5.75% ROI).
- 47-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.35 Units / -7.95% ROI
- 45-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.25 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 46-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.2 Units / -3.09% ROI
Rays vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Bo Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Littell (TB) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .353 (6-for-17) against Gavin Williams when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .229 — eighth Percentile.
Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 21.1 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 65.1.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 56% (9/16) against Gavin Williams this month (2 games) — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 86th Percentile.
Gavin Williams has allowed an OBP of .389 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .290 — 15th Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
11 of Zack Littell’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .292 (114-for-390) against Zack Littell this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .330 (38-for-115) against Zack Littell versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .220 — first Percentile.
Zack Littell has walked 4 of 160 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Guardians are 18-13 (.581) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 12-3 (.800) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .543.
The Guardians are 10-14 (.417) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Guardians are 9-104 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rays are just 20-40 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Rays are just 13-26 (.333) after a win as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Rays are 11-96 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Rays are 13-1 (.929) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians have an average Exit Velocity of 87.7 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 185 strikeouts in 570 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .202 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Guardians have allowed 0.74 runs per game (69/93) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 35% of their games on the road since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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