- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Rockies
- Guardians vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
- Guardians / Rockies TV Channel: BSGL | ROTV
The Cleveland Guardians (-150) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+125) on Wednesday, May 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Guardians are 37-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 29-25 ATS.
Guardians vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 3.26 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Ty Blach 1-2, 4.56 ERA
Guardians vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +100 | O 11 -115 | -150 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -120 | U 11 -105 | +125 |
Guardians vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 33 games (+35.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 29 of his last 48 games (+19.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.25 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 games (+26.50 Units / 221% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+13.10 Units / 75% ROI)
- Brendan Rodgers has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 23 games at home (+13.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 23 games at home (+9.65 Units / 33% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 55 games (+16.47 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 55 games (+13.35 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+10.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 20% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+11.05 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+10.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 24 games (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.35 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 29% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 32-23 against the Run Line (+13.35 Units / 20.12% ROI).
- 37-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +16.47 Units / 23.2% ROI
- 28-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 2.54% ROI
- 24-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.55 Units / -10.91% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 29-25 against the Run Line (-0.85 Units / -1.28% ROI).
- 19-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.4 Units / -8.29% ROI
- 28-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 1.2% ROI
- 25-28 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -9.68% ROI
Rockies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Kris Bryant (COL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rockies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brenton Doyle (COL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Elehuris Montero (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Sean Bouchard (COL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Hedges (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Rockies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
Rockies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
| Ty Blach (COL) | 2.5 -120 | 2.5 -110 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .541 (98 Total Bases / 181 ABs) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .324 (11-for-34) against Logan Allen’s elevated fastball this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .203 — eighth Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .586 (51 Total Bases / 87 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .367 — seventh Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed an OBP of .362 (199 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — fourth Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .353 (114-for-323) against Ty Blach since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .348 (73-for-210) against Ty Blach when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (24/208) against Ty Blach this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (119/830) against Ty Blach since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 85 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Guardians are 36-129 (.218) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Guardians are 25-136 (.155) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Guardians are just 10-17 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Guardians are 50-8 (.862) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Rockies are just 55-26 (.679) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .855.
The Rockies are just 75-64 (.540) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Rockies are just 20-18 (.526) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .791.
The Rockies are just 99-32 (.756) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .867.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,869 strikeouts in 10,265 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have an OPS of just .616 (1,804 PA’s) in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.3 feet since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.3.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 411.0 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.5.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Guardians pitchers have won 45% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Guardians pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.76 runs per game (42/55) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 34% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Lucas Gilbreath (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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