- The Guardians are -125 favorites vs the Royals
- Guardians vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Guardians / Royals TV Channel: BSGL | BSKC
The Cleveland Guardians (-125) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+105) on Saturday, June 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.
This season, the Guardians are 51-29 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 48-36 ATS.
Guardians vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 6-2, 3.53 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 5-5, 3.04 ERA
Guardians vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | O 9.5 +100 | -125 |
| Royals | +1.5 -155 | U 9.5 -120 | +105 |
Guardians vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- Maikel Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Massey has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+12.00 Units / 120% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 80 games (+17.77 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 80 games (+17.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 45 of their last 80 games (+15.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 41 of their last 66 games (+15.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 35 games (+10.30 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 42 games at home (+14.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 42 games at home (+11.39 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.60 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games at home (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 45-35 against the Run Line (+15.8 Units / 16.31% ROI).
- 51-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.77 Units / 17.26% ROI
- 38-36 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.97% ROI
- 36-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.35 Units / -6.14% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Royals are 48-36 against the Run Line (+4.54 Units / 3.92% ROI).
- 46-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.4 Units / 8.34% ROI
- 35-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.5 Units / -15.87% ROI
- 45-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.4 Units / 7% ROI
Royals vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Renfroe (KC) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
Royals vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Massey (KC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Gabriel Arias (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| MJ Melendez (KC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nick Loftin (KC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Royals vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Salvador Perez (KC) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -120 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino (KC) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -135 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -130 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -140 |
Royals vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Marsh (KC) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
| Triston McKenzie (CLE) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — best among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .229 (144 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 93rd Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 40% (37 SO in 92 PAs) this month (4 games) — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 99th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .508 (67 Total Bases / 132 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .361 — seventh Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .556 (10 GB hits out of 18 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (5-for-42) against Cole Ragans on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — 98th Percentile.
Cole Ragans has allowed an OBP of just .230 (152 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 50% (27/54) against Cole Ragans over the past seven days (1 games) — best among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Guardians are 9-11 (.450) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Guardians are 44-1 (.978) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .892.
The Guardians are 12-9 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Guardians are 15-12 (.556) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Royals are just 23-54 (.299) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Royals are just 46-66 (.411) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Royals are just 19-95 (.167) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .363.
The Royals are just 15-33 (.312) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .479.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have just 1,976 strikeouts in 10,856 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Guardians had an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (4,432 PA’s) on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Royals have won just 53% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 33% on the road since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .195 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Guardians pitchers have walked 56 of 479 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Guardians have allowed 0.70 runs per game (56/80) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have won 47% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals won just 17% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% in late innings this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Royals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Wright (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Austin Cox (Kansas City Royals): Knee, Day-To-Day
- Michael Massey (Kansas City Royals): Back, 10-Day IL
- Jake Brentz (Kansas City Royals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Josh Taylor (Kansas City Royals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Carlos Hernandez (Kansas City Royals): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Kris Bubic (Kansas City Royals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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