- The Guardians are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: BSGL | BSDT
The Cleveland Guardians (-145) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+120) on Wednesday, July 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 57-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 43-49 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 7-3, 3.70 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 3-8, 3.22 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +125 | O 7.5 -105 | -145 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -150 | U 7.5 -115 | +120 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+26.20 Units / 175% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+17.37 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 55 of their last 90 games (+16.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 76 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 53 of their last 90 games (+10.70 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 90 games (+9.30 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 23 of their last 38 games (+8.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games at home (+5.75 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 74% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 62 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-43 against the Run Line (+9.3 Units / 8.61% ROI).
- 57-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.37 Units / 14.59% ROI
- 45-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.9 Units / 1.91% ROI
- 39-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.25 Units / -10.42% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 43-49 against the Run Line (-11.95 Units / -9.63% ROI).
- 43-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.9 Units / -8.38% ROI
- 47-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 4.78% ROI
- 38-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -14.03% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Daniel Schneemann (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -135 |
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .458 (22-for-48) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .329 — first Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of 35% (57 SO in 162 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed a slugging percentage of .867 (13 Total Bases / 15 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .368 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .458 against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP– fourth Percentile. Opponents batted just .268 (15-for-56) against him on the first pitch of at-bats last season — eighth best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP– 94th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (257/395) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (257/395) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 55% when ahead in the count (fourth lowest)– fifth Percentile and 74% when behind in the count this season (eighth highest among qualified SPs)– 89th Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (688/1,083) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 18-12 (.600) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .300.
The Guardians are 10-13 (.435) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Guardians are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Guardians are 10-19 (.345) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .199.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 25-108 (.188) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
The Tigers are 47-20 (.701) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .621.
The Tigers are just 7-13 (.350) after a home win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Tigers are just 28-160 (.149) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
The Guardians have a winning percentage of 73% at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,027 strikeouts in 11,117 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,710 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Tigers are batting just .277 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .508 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .196 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Guardians pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Guardians pitchers have won 56% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 313 of 3,688 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 21% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 243 of 3,410 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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