- The Guardians are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: FS1 | BSGL | BSDT
The Cleveland Guardians (-150) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+125) on Monday, July 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 56-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 41-49 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Gavin Williams 0-1, 11.26 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Keider Montero 1-2, 6.61 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +105 | O 8.5 -110 | -150 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -130 | U 8.5 -110 | +125 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s MLB game with 60.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+37.00 Units / 231% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 32 of his last 44 games (+19.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 26 of his last 43 games (+15.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.30 Units / 50% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 18 games (+11.40 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+26.20 Units / 175% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+14.45 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Gio Urshela has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.95 Units / 56% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 56 of their last 88 games (+17.77 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 54 of their last 88 games (+16.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 88 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 88 games (+10.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+8.70 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 36 games (+7.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 28 games at home (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+4.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 75% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 47-41 against the Run Line (+11.3 Units / 10.66% ROI).
- 56-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +17.77 Units / 15.29% ROI
- 44-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +2 Units / 2.05% ROI
- 38-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -10.56% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 41-49 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -11.49% ROI).
- 42-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.1 Units / -8.73% ROI
- 46-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.8 Units / 4.99% ROI
- 37-46 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -14.25% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andy Ibanez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gavin Williams (CLE) | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
| Keider Montero (DET) | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Gavin Williams has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.0 innings he’s appeared — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 63.2.
Gavin Williams has retired the leadoff hitter in each of his last 10 innings — Hunter Gaddis has the longest active streak at 21.
Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 29% (26/88) against Gavin Williams on breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 37% — 91st Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Keider Montero has allowed at least one HR in each of his last three games dating back to May 29th — Jose Berrios has the longest active streak at 7.
Keider Montero has thrown breaking pitches 54% of the time (26/48) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Keider Montero has thrown off-speed pitches 60% of the time (29/48) vs left-handed batters over the past seven days (1 games) — 5th highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 46% — 81st Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 17-12 (.586) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .299.
The Guardians are 12-3 (.800) after a home loss this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .544.
The Guardians are 9-13 (.409) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Guardians are 47-1 (.979) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .896.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are just 6-12 (.333) after a home win this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Tigers are just 24-35 (.407) after a home win since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Tigers are 9-34 (.209) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers are just 28-8 (.778) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,016 strikeouts in 11,060 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,911 strikeouts in 15,539 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .309 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Tigers are batting just .306 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
The Tigers are batting just .276 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,639 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .258.
Guardians pitchers have won 49% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 234 of 3,330 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Tigers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 312 of 3,669 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 15% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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