- The Tigers are -140 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: GDTV | FDDT | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-130) on Thursday, May 22, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 26-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 28-22 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 3-4, 4.12 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 2-5, 4.44 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -115 | +110 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -105 | -130 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 away games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Strikeouts Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 58% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+6.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 60% ROI)
- Tanner Bibee has hit the Hits Allowed Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+6.00 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 8 games at home (+12.70 Units / 159% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+12.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+12.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+7.50 Units / 36% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 14 away games (+1.55 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 47 games (+16.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 50 games (+16.00 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 50 games (+14.38 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 49 games (+10.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 49 games (+9.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 24-24 against the Run Line (-4.1 Units / -6.05% ROI).
- 26-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.15 Units / 7.48% ROI
- 22-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.65 Units / -5.08% ROI
- 23-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -2.06% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 28-22 against the Run Line (+3.4 Units / 5.25% ROI).
- 33-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.9 Units / 19.48% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.2 Units / 4.02% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.45 Units / -11.61% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -295 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .087 (2-for-23) against Tanner Bibee on low fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 97th Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has a strikeout rate of just 30% (35 SO in 117 PAs) with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OPS of 1.130 (77 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .722 — second Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has picked-off 5 runners since last season — most among among AL Starters — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty allowed an OBP of .453 (236 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters in 2023 — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .325 — first Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 32% (393/1,223) against Jack Flaherty in the 2024 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty walked 9 of 252 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty had a strikeout rate of 31% (78/252) when going through the lineup the first time in a game in the 2024 season — tied for 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 91st Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 93-3 (.969) when leading entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .860.
The Guardians were 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .856.
The Guardians are 22-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Guardians are 13-2 (.867) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Tigers (19th best runs scored) today.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 28-5 (.848) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
The Tigers are 26-2 (.929) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .821.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have a swing rate of 63% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 60%.
Guardians hitters struck out just 1,142 times in 6,096 PA’s (19%) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .659 (1,395 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .263 (1,445 PA’s) when leading off an inning in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .305.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .679 (4,707 PA’s) against RHP in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .732.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (3,335 PA’s) when leading off an inning since the 2023 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Guardians pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .222 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Tigers have won 40% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
Bet now on Guardians vs Tigers and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
