- The Guardians are -115 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: Max | TNT
The Cleveland Guardians (-120) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (+100) on Thursday, October 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:08pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 93-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 91-76 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Tanner Bibee 12-8, 3.40 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +150 | O 6.5 +100 | -120 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | U 6.5 -120 | +100 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 53.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 72 games (+20.70 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 164 games (+9.55 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 36 games (+8.55 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 80 games (+24.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 82 games (+22.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games (+16.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.05 Units / 30% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 83-81 against the Run Line (+4.85 Units / 2.36% ROI).
- 93-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.55 Units / 4.49% ROI
- 69-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.55 Units / -13.03% ROI
- 84-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.05 Units / 4.47% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 91-76 against the Run Line (+7.2 Units / 3.19% ROI).
- 90-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.35 Units / 4.13% ROI
- 78-82 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.85 Units / -6.47% ROI
- 82-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.9 Units / -2.11% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Will Brennan (CLE) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tanner Bibee (CLE) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (166/471) against Tanner Bibee this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Tanner Bibee has allowed an OBP of just .241 (315 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .398 (35-for-88) against Tanner Bibee on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .330 — 11th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Tanner Bibee in the 2023 season was 379.5 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .195 (267 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .191 (278 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting just .150 (38-for-253) against Tyler Holton since last season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .188 (15-for-80) against Tyler Holton on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .325 — 100th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 77-2 (.975) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .899.
The Guardians are 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are just 3-61 (.047) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Guardians are 40-174 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 36-5 (.878) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
The Tigers are 63-9 (.875) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Tigers are 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 33% in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .380 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .367 against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 357 of 4,323 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 28% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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