- The Guardians are -110 favorites vs the Tigers
- Guardians vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Guardians / Tigers TV Channel: TBS | truT | Max
The Cleveland Guardians (-110) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-110) on Wednesday, October 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:08pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Guardians are 93-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 90-76 ATS.
Guardians vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Alex Cobb 2-1, 2.81 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +155 | O 7 +100 | -110 |
| Tigers | +1.5 -190 | U 7 -120 | -110 |
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 44 of their last 71 games (+19.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 93 of their last 163 games (+10.70 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.60 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 79 games (+23.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 81 games (+21.65 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+15.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 32 games at home (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 83-80 against the Run Line (+5.85 Units / 2.86% ROI).
- 93-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.7 Units / 5.06% ROI
- 69-83 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.55 Units / -12.55% ROI
- 83-69 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.05 Units / 3.94% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 90-76 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 2.77% ROI).
- 89-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 3.65% ROI
- 78-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -5.96% ROI
- 81-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -2.67% ROI
Tigers vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Kyle Manzardo (CLE) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Tigers vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Tigers vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Cobb (CLE) | 2.5 -160 | 2.5 +120 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (572/955) against Alex Cobb since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (131/202) against Alex Cobb with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 99th Percentile.
Alex Cobb has thrown his changeup 41% of the time (447/1,082) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 194 total CH; League Avg: 17% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 58% (304/521) against Alex Cobb since last season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .195 (267 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .191 (278 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .308 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .227 (675 PA’s) since last season — best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .309 — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .230 (714 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — 99th Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Guardians are 71-2 (.973) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 40-174 (.187) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 66-9 (.880) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
The Guardians are just 6-60 (.091) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Tigers are 14-55 (.203) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 6-59 (.092) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are just 30-118 (.203) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Tigers are 27-1 (.964) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .810.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 2,444 strikeouts in 13,061 PA’s (19%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Guardians hitters have put 41% of balls in play to the right side of the field since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,672 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,334 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (17,972 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .207 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .228 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .223 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Guardians pitchers have won 40% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 892 of 12,042 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 357 of 4,323 batters (8%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.45 (930.0 IP) against division opponents since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.19.
Tigers vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Cleveland Guardians – No Injuries Reported
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